Bets: The latest odds before the Grand Final!

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The 68th Eurovision Song Contest, which has been marred by drama like no other, will conclude in a few hours from now, culminating in the elimination of the Netherlands from the Grand Final this morning.

Amidst an atmosphere of tension and unprecedented toxicity, we take a look at the betting companies’ odds regarding each country’s chances of winning this year’s contest, as well as their chances of being in the Top 10.

Croatia in pole position

With Croatia as the early favourites, the Eurovision 2024 final will take place this evening. The country that has been in first place more than any other has the best chance of winning just hours before the curtain falls on this year’s contest. The supersonic Baby Lasagna is very close to giving Croatia their first win as an independent nation in their Eurovision appearance. Right now, you can place bets on the Croats’ maiden victory at odds between 1.83 and 2.25.

Second is Israel, which is right on Croatia’s heels and sees its odds of victory remain largely unchanged from our analysis yesterday. Thus, Israel’s Eurovision 2024 win is being played at odds between 2.8 and 4.

In third place, gaining ground after last night’s performance, are Nemo and Switzerland. Switzerland and Nemo‘s victory is now being bet at odds between 4.5 and 5.5, up from 6 to 9 at the time of writing our analysis yesterday.

Up two places for Ireland and down one for France, who complete the top five. The possibility of Ireland winning is now offered between 17 and 23. On the other hand, France‘s odds of victory have risen compared to yesterday, now offered between 15 and 26.

Ukraine has dropped to sixth place, having lost three places in the last two days. With the odds on offer having risen significantly, currently as much as 34 times the stake is returned on a Ukrainian victory in Malmo.

In seventh place is Italy, who lost even more ground after last night’s performance at Jury Rehearsal. Between 21 and 51 is being played on the possibility of Angelina Mango winning.

A one place rise for Greece, which moved up one place compared to our analysis yesterday, “taking advantage” of the exclusion of the Netherlands. A possible victory of “ZARI” and Marina Satti is currently being played at odds between 81 and 251, with no change at all compared to yesterday.

Finland has moved up to ninth place, while Sweden completes the top ten, returning inside the Top 10 for the first time in many months. Both Finland and Sweden are both playing at a maximum odds of 251, exactly the same as ninth-placed Greece as well as the UK and Armenia, who are in 11th and 12th place.

Top 10

Of particular interest is one of the most popular markets for betting companies, that of entering the Top 10. Looking at the table below, it can be seen that bookers largely consider entry into the top 10 to be assured for a large proportion of the countries involved in the Grand Final.

The presence of four countries in the top 10 is considered a given. Croatia, Switzerland, Ukraine and Israel are “given a place” in the top 10, with bookies offering this possibility at odds of under 1.10.

France and Italy are almost taken for granted that they too will have a place in the top 10 at Eurovision 2024, with this possibility returning between 1.14 and 1.20 times the stake.

With the six spots in the Top 10 looking largely taken, four spots remain, with Ireland considered the seventh most likely to take a spot in the top ten at odds of 1.57.

Greece also has a very strong chance of a place inside the Top 10, being eighth in the table below and also the last country to offer odds of less than 2. In fact, a place inside the Top 10 for Marina Satti returns up to 1.91 times the stake.

Beyond that, the Netherlands‘ elimination from the grand final “opens up a spot” within the Top 10 that was considered by many to be a lock. Automatically, it opens the way for two more spots for the top 10 of the ranking. Thus, Sweden is considered the ninth most likely to make the top ten and Armenia the tenth most likely. Both are being played at odds close to 2.5.

Conclusions

We are only a few hours away from the most dramatic final in Eurovision history, which has been tainted by the events of the last few days in Malmö. Leaving aside everything that has marked the contest so far, tonight’s final is the most controversial of all time, where no one can accurately predict what will happen. All possibilities are open and no outcome will come as a surprise.

Which country do you think will win the 68th Eurovision Song Contest?

Stay tuned to Eurovisionfun for all the developments!

Bets: Derby for two for the victory| Lots of shuffling after the second semi-final!

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The two semi-finals brought upsets upon upsets to the betting tables, with several countries standing out and others losing ground. The leak of the Italian public’s votes in the second semi-final changed the scene dramatically, with everything we wrote yesterday going out the window.

With less than 36 hours to go until the Eurovision 2024 grand final, we take a look at the betting companies’ odds regarding each country’s chances of winning this year’s contest.

Derby at the top

Israel‘s “breath” is now felt by Croatia, with last night’s RAI leak moving Eden Golan up six places, with room to move up even further. The sweeping wave of support for Israel‘s entry, which counted around 40% of the Italian public vote, may indicate a Europe-wide trend of support for the Hurricane.

When yesterday, in a total of 16 countries, one song has received 40% of the votes and the second, the Netherlands, has just under 8%, then we can talk about a situation that could have a profound effect on the development of the 68th Eurovision Song Contest.

In any case, even at the time of writing this article, the first favourite is Croatia. Baby Lasagna‘s supersonic performance in the first semi-final had given Croatia a clear margin of victory, with its maiden win as an independent country “just around the corner” according to bookers who offered that possibility at odds of 1.62 to 1.91 before the second semi-final. At the moment, you can bet on a maiden Croatian victory at odds between 1.83 and 2.25.

Second is Israel, who yesterday before their appearance in the second semi-final and, especially, the Italian broadcaster’s leak, were considered the eighth favourite to win the 68th Eurovision Song Contest, at odds close to 67. As expected, those odds are now a thing of the past. Thus, Israel‘s win at Eurovision 2024 is being played at odds between 2.75 and 3.5. This is the biggest odds drop recorded from semi-final to final in Eurovision history, and it is not unlikely that in the next few hours Croatia will get even closer in the next few hours.

Despite Nemo‘s excellent performance in last night’s second semi-final, Switzerland has dropped to third place as a direct result of Israel’s rapid rise. Switzerland and Nemo‘s victory is now being bet at odds between 6 and 9, up from 3.5 to 4 last night.

The second winner of last night’s show is undoubtedly France, which is the only country along with Israel to see its odds fall by the hour. Between 17 and 26 was being played last night for France to win, while it is now being played between 11 and 17. Slimane‘s outstanding performance, which moved millions of viewers across Europe, lifted the French above the Ukrainians, Irish and Italians.

The top five is completed by Ukraine, being the big loser after the second semi-final, losing two places from where they were in our last analysis. With the odds on offer having almost doubled, currently as much as 26 times the stakes are returning on a Ukrainian win in Malmö.

Top 10

At similar odds to Ukraine, you can also play Ireland, who have dropped to sixth place, having been in fourth before the second semi-final. The possibility of Ireland winning is now offered between 13 and 26.

A loss of one place for Italy too, with a win for Angelina Mango tomorrow night returning up to 36 times the money of anyone who bets on her. Rising odds for Italy, who have lost whatever momentum they had before the contest.

The same is true, but to an even greater extent, for eighth-placed Netherlands. Having lost five places compared to before the start of the rehearsals and now outside the top five in eighth place, a potential win for Joost Klein and “Europapa” could return up to 81 times the stake.

Greece remains in ninth place at the time of writing, with the fluctuations during the day being huge. In the early hours of the morning of May 10 we have seen too many countries move up and down continuously, with some time of the day being within the top ten and others even lower. The same has happened in the case of Greece, which is now ninth, but was earlier in 15th place. A possible win for “ZARI” and Marina Satti is currently being played at odds between 81 and 251, higher than in our analysis the day before yesterday where it was played at odds between 51 and 151.

At the same maximum odds as Greece, one finds the United Kingdom, which completes the top ten. Up to 251 times the stake is returned on the UK’s first win within the 21st century.

Conclusions

We await with great interest in the coming hours whether the betting tables will be further affected, following the leak of Italy‘s votes in last night’s semi-final with its sweeping support for Israel. In any case, we’ll be back with additional betting articles ahead of the grand final of the 68th Eurovision Song Contest.

Stay tuned to Eurovisionfun for all the developments!

Eurovision 2024: The odds before the second semi-final – “Battle” between two for victory!

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We are just hours away from the second semi-final of the 68th Eurovision Song Contest, which means that in a few hours from now sixteen countries will compete for one of the ten tickets leading to Saturday’s grand final.

With two days left until the Grand Final, the favourite column of many of you is back, as the betting analysis for the 68th Eurovision Song Contest is back again.

With less than a few hours to go until the second semi-final of Eurovision 2024, we take a look at the betting companies’ odds regarding each country’s chances of winning this year’s contest.

Battle of Croatia and Switzerland

The 68th Eurovision Song Contest now has one huge favourite and that is Croatia. Baby Lasagna‘s supersonic performance in the first semi-final has given Croatia a clear winning edge, with their maiden victory as an independent country “just around the corner” according to the bookers. For the first time during this year’s Eurovision season, a song is being played at odds of less than two, between 1.62 and 1.91. The chances of history being made and having a new country win are overwhelmingly in favour of the Croats.

The only threat to Croatia could be Switzerland, always according to the bookers. Nemo has managed to gain slight momentum since yesterday, being the only country in the top ten, with the exception of Croatia, who are offered at lower odds than the day before yesterday. Switzerland and Nemo‘s win is now being bet at odds between 3.5 and 4.

Beyond that, the gap between the top two countries and the rest has increased dramatically. Thus, third is now Ukraine, who gained one place after their performance in the first semi-final. Up to 12 times the stake is returned if the Ukrainians win in Malmö.

A one-place rise for Ireland, which is now in fourth place. The possibility of Ireland winning is now offered between 10 and 19. Rounding out the top five is France, who like Italy return up to 26 times the stake of anyone who believes in them. France‘s win is played between 17 and 26, while Italy‘s is played between 13 and 26. However, Oddschecker shows France fifth and Italy sixth, as Italy’s odds are expected to rise even further in the coming hours.

A big loser before the shows is clearly the Netherlands. Having lost four places compared to before the start of the rehearsals and now outside the top five in seventh place, a potential win for Joost Klein and “Europapa” could return up to 36 times the stakes. Eighth is Israel, seen as the eighth favourite to win the 68th Eurovision Song Contest, at odds of close to 67.

Greece remains in ninth place. A potential win for “ZARI” and Marina Satti is currently being played at odds between 51 and 151, higher than in our analysis the day before yesterday where it was also being played at odds between 51 and 151.

Finally, the top ten is completed by the United Kingdom, which after a long time returns to the higher echelons of the betting tables, with Olly Alexander having built momentum after his first rehearsals. Up to 201 times the stake returns the UK’s first win inside the 21st century.

Second Semifinal

As we are just a few hours away from the second semi-final, in today’s analysis we will take a look at the chances of each of the fifteen participating countries in tonight’s show to qualify.

Six countries are considered a given to qualify, with Switzerland, Netherlands, Armenia, Israel, Norway, and Greece being offered by bookies at odds of under 1.10. Significantly, the odds on the top four countries in particular return almost nothing to those who bet on them. For example, in the event that someone bets ten euros on their qualification, they will only make a profit of fifty euro cents on the best one.

In the same category we could also include Georgia, which has made a big impression in recent days, now having one foot and a half in the grand final of the 68th Eurovision Song Contest. Up to 1.14 is offered for Georgia to qualify for the first time since 2016.

Beyond that, it’s a clear-cut case for the final three tickets, with Belgium, Austria and Estonia all having very, very good chances of qualifying. At odds of close to 1.30 you can bet the three countries.

And we go on to the remaining six countries in the semi-final, which are considered by the bookies as underdogs for qualification. Clearly more likely are San Marino and Denmark, who should be considered anything but out of the running, with their qualification being played at close to 3.25 and 3.5 respectively.

Finally, Albania , Czechia, Malta and Latvia seem to be “boiling in the same pot”, whose qualification quadruples, quintuples and sixfold the stakes.

We await the final results tonight with great interest to see if the bookers will be confirmed once again.

Which countries do you think will qualify for the grand final on 11 May?

Stay tuned to Eurovisionfun for all the developments!

Eurovision 2024: The odds before the first semi-final – Croatia “prevails”!

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We are just hours away from the first semi-final of the 68th Eurovision Song Contest, which means that in a few hours from now fifteen countries will compete for one of the ten tickets leading to Saturday’s grand final.

With rehearsals now complete and dress rehearsals well underway, the favourite column of many of you is back, as the betting analysis for the 68th Eurovision Song Contest is back again.

With less than a few hours to go until the first semi-final of Eurovision 2024, we take a look at the betting companies’ odds regarding each country’s chances of winning this year’s contest.

Croatia extends its lead

As expected, yesterday’s Press and Jury Rehearsals brought a lot of shuffling of the betting tables, as it was the first full rehearsals that journalists and the public had access to. With various images having been released online, the mood for many of the participating countries in this year’s competition has changed, having for the first time during this year’s Eurovision season a clearer picture of what the public likes and dislikes.

So the big winner of the last few hours is, by far the runner-up, Croatia. For the first time during this year’s Eurovision season, one country has such a big difference compared to the others. Significantly, at the moment, bookers are offering the Croatian maiden victory at odds between 2.1 and 2.38, the lowest we have seen this year.

This drop in Croatia’s odds also means a parallel rise in the odds for Switzerland, who see their gap to the leading Croatia widening by the hour. Switzerland and Nemo‘s win is now being bet at odds of between 4.5 and 4.75, while on the exchanging offices it is being played close to 5.30.

Italy remains in third place, largely stable in its odds, without losing much ground. Between 5.5 and 7, the Italian win is on offer for those who believe in Angelina Mango‘s potential. Fourth is Ukraine, which after yesterday’s rehearsals lost the momentum it had held up to that point and was on the verge of third place. Up to 9.5 times the stake is returned if the Ukrainians win in Malmö.

The big surprise of the first week of this year’s Eurovision is of course Ireland. Having impressed last week, yesterday’s rehearsals delivered the big bang for Ireland, who are now inside the Top 5, overtaking the Netherlands. The potential for Ireland to win is now offered between 10 and 15.

Top 10

The big loser before the shows is clearly the Netherlands. Having lost three places compared to before the start of the rehearsals and now outside the top five, a potential win for Joost Klein and “Europapa” could return up to seventeen times the stakes.

Absolutely stable and in seventh place is France, as they are now playing at odds between 15 and 21. One place down compared to our last analysis is Israel, now seen as the eighth favourite to win the 68th Eurovision Song Contest, at odds close to 36,

One place below is Greece, in ninth place. A possible victory for “ZARI” and Marina Satti is currently being played at odds between 26 and 67, clearly higher after the release of the clip from the second rehearsal of the Greek delegation last Thursday.

Finally, the top ten is completed by the United Kingdom, which after a long time returns to the higher echelons of the betting tables, with Olly Alexander having built momentum after his first rehearsals. Up to 91 times the stake returns the UK’s first win inside the 21st century.

First Semifinal

As we are just a few hours away from the first semi-final, in today’s analysis we will take a look at the chances of each of the fifteen participating countries in tonight’s show to qualify.

Six countries are considered a given to qualify, with Croatia, Ukraine, Lithuania, Ireland, Finland, Ireland and Luxembourg being offered by bookies at odds of under 1.10. Significantly, the odds on the top four countries in particular return almost nothing to those who bet on them. For example, in the event that someone bets ten euros on their qualification, they will only make a profit of fifty euro cents on the best one.

The countries following the top six seem to have a very big chance of qualifying for the grand final. Portugal, Poland and Cyprus have over 80% chances of qualifying, with their eventual qualification being bet at odds of close to 1.20-1.25.

Beyond that, with a place in the grand final seemingly up for grabs, the edge appears to be with Serbia, whose qualification returns up to 1.67 times the stakes. Australia also seem to have a fairly strong chance, with Australia being played at odds under 2.

Underdogs are now considered to be Slovenia, whose eventual qualification returns almost 3 times the stake, an increase too significant compared to our last analysis.

The following countries, namely Azerbaijan, Moldova and Iceland, are considered less likely to qualify. More chances of qualification for the Azeris played between 3.25 and 5.5, the same is more or less true for Moldova played at similar odds. In contrast, Iceland are far from the rest in last place.

We await the final results tonight with great interest to see if the bookers will be confirmed once again.

Which countries do you think will qualify for the grand final on 11 May?

Stay tuned to Eurovisionfun for all the developments!

Bets: Croatia back on top – The latest odds shake-ups!

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Croatia‘s rise to the top of the betting tables was only a matter of time, which is exactly what happened. So, after more than a month since Switzerland rose to the top of the betting tables, the big moment of Croatia‘s return to the position they have been in for much of this year’s Eurovision season has arrived.

We had already reported in last night’s Editorial that Baby Lasagna and “Rim Tim Tagi Dim” were rapidly closing the gap between them and the leading Switzerland. A few hours later the expected “change of baton” took place, with Croatia now in pole position to win the 68th Eurovision Song Contest.

Taking a closer look at the odds, we see significant changes in a few hours since last night’s release of the recap of the countries participating in the first semi-final. As a result, the top spot is now occupied by Croatia, with bookers offering the Croats‘ maiden win at odds between 3 and 3.5 (3.75 – 4.5 last night).

As a consequence, Switzerland dropped out of the top spot for the first time since the end of March. Switzerland and Nemo‘s win is now being bet at odds between 3 and 4, whereas until last night it was between 2.63 and 3.

Italy is also losing ground, with Ukraine threatening to overtake them within a short time. Between 5 and 6.5 is on offer for those who believe in Angelina Mango‘s potential (5-6 last night), while Ukraine‘s counterpart is now being played at odds between 5.5 and 7, clearly lower than before the recap was released when Alyona Alyona & Jerry Heil won impressions (7.5 – 10).

A drop of course for the Netherlands, which has been the big loser in the top five since the start of the rehearsals, with a potential win for Joost Klein and “Europapa” returning up to ten times the stakes.

As for the rest of the Top 10, Israel has moved up to sixth place in the last few hours. Israel‘s victory is offered at odds between 17 and 23, slightly higher compared to last night (15-21). A one place drop for France, in a development that was largely expected, as we reported in our betting analysis last night. Up to 26 times the stake is returned by “Mon Amour” and Slimane.

Greece remains stable for now, in eighth place. A possible win for “ZARI” and Marina Satti is still being played at the moment at odds between 21 and 34, just like last night.

Slightly behind Greece is Ireland who remain ninth, but are seeing their odds of victory diminish by the hour. Performing one of the best rehearsals of the first semi-final, it’s only natural that bookies are dropping Ireland’s odds to win, a possibility that is currently being played at odds between 23 and 41, when just a few hours ago it was returning up to 67 times the stakes.

Finally, absolutely stagnant in tenth place remains Norway. Should Gåte win this year’s Eurovision with “Ulveham“, people who bet on them will get up to 101 times their money back.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EBsgTJQFl9k

Will the bookers’ predictions come true and will Croatia achieve its maiden victory in the Eurovision Song Contest? Tell us in the comments!

Stay tuned to Eurovisionfun for all the developments!

 

Eurovision 2024: The odds after the completion of the first rehearsals!

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The favourite column of many of you returns, as the betting analyses for the 68th Eurovision Song Contest are back again.

With less than a week to go until the first Eurovision 2024 semi-final and after the fourth day of rehearsals, we take a look at the betting companies’ odds regarding each country’s chances of winning this year’s contest.

Top 5

Largely unchanged is the situation at the top of the betting tables, with Nemo and Switzerland seen as the heavy favourites to win the 68th Eurovision Song Contest. Switzerland‘s victory is now being bet at odds of between 2.63 and 3, with the odds remaining largely stable.

In second place, with more or less the same odds compared to our last analysis a week ago, is Croatia. Baby Lasagna and ‘Rim Tim Tagi Dim‘ will go all the way for the Croats’ maiden win, with bookies offering odds of between 3.75 and 4.5.

A short distance behind Croatia is Italy, who have moved back up to third place. A day before the Italian team’s first rehearsal in Malmö, the competition’s performance so far has boosted Angelina Mango‘s chances with “La Noia“, as now at almost all bookmakers the odds of an Italian victory have dropped significantly. Between 5 and 6 is offered for the Italian victory for those who believe in the potential of the talented young performer.

Fourth is currently Ukraine, whose maximum odds of winning are exactly the same as those of the fifth-ranked country, the Netherlands. However, a closer look at the table reveals that almost all bookers agree that the Netherlands‘ rehearsal was probably the worst among the favourites in the contest, which is why they are now offering it at a higher yield.

On the contrary, the momentum is much more favourable for Ukraine, whose first rehearsal was one of the top of the 31 countries taking to the stage for the first time. Ukraine‘s fourth win in the Eurovision Song Contest is currently being bet at odds of between 7.5 and 10, while the Netherlands‘ win is currently being bet between 5 and 10.

Top 10

With the countries in the Top 5 having stood out in comparison to those below them in the betting tables, let’s take a look at the rest of the top ten. In sixth place is still France, who have consistently remained in or on the fringes of the top ten for most of this Eurovision season. Up to 21 times the stakes are returned by “Mon Amour” and Slimane.

In seventh place with a steady upward trend is Israel. Having, admittedly, one of the best rehearsals we have seen so far, Eden Golan and “Hurricane” are on the verge of sixth place and it may be a matter of a few hours before they overtake France. Israel‘s win is offered at odds between 15 and 21, down by almost half on our last analysis.

Eighth-placed Greece are among the winners in the early rehearsals. Marina Satti‘s very good rehearsal has brought down Greece’s odds of victory at most of the betting companies. Thus, now a possible victory of “ZARI” and Marina Satti is currently being played at odds between 21 and 34, slightly lower compared to our analysis before the first rehearsals.

The big winner in recent weeks has clearly been Ireland, who have remained firmly in ninth place over the last week. As many as 67 times the stakes are returned for Ireland’s win with Bambie Thug‘s “Doomsday Blue“, with bookers’ opinions divided over the fate of this entry more than any other Eurovision 2024 song.

A “new entry” in the top ten is now Norway, which took advantage of the fall of Belgium and Lithuania, climbing into the Top 10 after more than two months inside the Top 10. Should Gåte win this year’s Eurovision with “Ulveham“, people who bet on them will get up to 101 times their money back.

First semi-final

As part of this analysis, we will also take a first look at the odds of qualifying for the grand final. We start with the first semi-final, whose participating countries took to the stage of Malmö Arena for the second time today and will return on Monday for the rehearsals of the shows.

Four countries are considered a given to qualify, with Croatia, Ukraine, Lithuania and Finland offered by bookers at odds of under 1.10. It is telling that the odds on the top four countries in particular return almost nothing to those who bet on them. For example, in the event that someone bets ten euros on their qualification, they will only make a profit of fifty euro cents on the best one.

The countries following the top four countries also seem to have a very big chance of qualifying for the grand final. Luxembourg, Cyprus and Ireland have over 80% chances of qualifying, with their eventual qualification being bet at odds of close to 1.20-1.25.

Poland seem to be in a league of their own, seen as the eighth favourite to qualify for the grand final on May 11. Luna‘s qualification is offered at odds of around 1.30-1.36, with a clear distance between them and both the leading and trailing countries.

A battle is expected for the last two tickets to Saturday’s grand final, with four countries battling it out. Serbia have the edge over that group of four countries, with bookers offering any qualification for Teya Dora close to 1.5. Portugal and Australia are next, both being played at exactly the same odds, between 1.5 and 1.73, with bookmakers unable to give either country a qualification advantage.

Less likely compared to the aforementioned countries is Slovenia, whose eventual qualification, despite being seen as the 12th seed to qualify from this semi-final, returns less than 2 times the stake. One understands that the differences between them are marginal and, therefore, qualification will be decided on the margin.

The following countries, namely Azerbaijan, Moldova and Iceland, are considered less likely to qualify. More chances of qualification for the Azeris are being played between 2.38 and 3.25, with bookers not ruling out the surprise. Conversely, Moldova and Iceland are far and away in the bottom two spots having the least chance of qualification.

Second semi-final

Regarding the second semi-final, things seem to be clearer. Sixteen countries are involved in this semi-final, with ten of them being played at odds of less than 2. You can see how bookers seem to have easily settled on the top ten that will qualify for the final.

Switzerland, Netherlands, Greece, Greece, Norway, Armenia and Israel are seen by bookmakers as certain to qualify, with their qualification returning up to 1.1 times the stake. It is understandable that with six out of ten countries being taken for granted to qualify for Saturday’s grand final, things become more difficult for the remaining ten.

Much the same is true of Belgium, Austria and Estonia, with bookies offering the possibility of them making the final of this year’s competition between 1.20 and 1.28.

Rounding out the top ten is tenth-placed Georgia, who are in a league of their own and it looks like it’s time to break their negative streak of exclusions since 2016. At odds of between 1.33 and 1.4, Georgia are on offer, with the possibility of qualification being the most prevalent.

And we move on to the other six semi-final countries, which are considered by bookies as underdogs for qualification. Clearly more likely are Denmark and Albania, who should be considered anything but out of the running, with their qualification odds at close to 2.40 and 2.75 respectively.

Finally, Latvia, San Marino, Malta and the Czech Republic seem to be “boiling in the same pot”, whose qualification quadruples, quintuples and sixfold the stakes.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kiGDvM14Kwg

Will Switzerland achieve its third victory in the Eurovision Song Contest with Nemo’s “The Code”? Tell us in the comments!

Stay tuned to Eurovisionfun for all the developments!

Bets: The latest odds before the rehearsals!

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We are two days away from the start of the rehearsals in Malmö and that’s why one of Eurovisionfun‘s most loved and talked about columns is back, with the Eurovision 2024 betting analysis back again.

As you prepare for the pivotal days ahead with the climax of the 68th Eurovision Song Contest celebrations, the bookers are already getting down to business, with the Eurovision 2024 winner section already on offer across all bookmakers. So, we’re taking the opportunity to bring you the so far for the next contest.

The five that became four

A battle for four seems to be shaping up in this year’s contest, with Switzerland, Croatia, the Netherlands and Italy having a distinct lead over their pursuers and Ukraine ‘losing ground’ recently after the parties.

More specifically, at the top, now having a clear lead over its competitors, is Switzerland. With two 24 hours to go until the start of rehearsals in the Swedish south, Nemo‘s “The Code” starts from pole-position to win Switzerland‘s coveted third victory in its almost 70-year presence in the Eurovision Song Contest. Switzerland‘s victory is now being bet at odds of between 2.63 and 3.1, becoming the first to break the triple barrier this year.

In second place remains Croatia, who have been firmly established in the top two of the betting tables for the past two months, with their odds remaining largely stable after this year’s pre-parties. Baby Lasagna and “Rim Tim Tagi Dim” will go all the way for a maiden Croatian victory, with bookers offering odds of between 3.25 and 4.6.

The absolute hit on Western and Central European radios, the Netherlands, continues its rally up the betting tables. Joost Klein‘s “Europapa” has made an impression and is sweeping the charts and streams across much of the Old Continent, now bringing the Netherlands into fourth place. We told you long ago through this column about the dynamics of this entry, which was one of the dark horses of this year’s contest. Now in third place and offered at odds of between 4.25 and 5.5, it is anything but a dark horse, with betting companies recognising its potential and moving it up two places.

Fourth, with a slightly downward trend, but within a fairly close distance of the three leading countries, is Italy. Angelina Mango with “La Noia” may have lost one place compared to our last analysis, nevertheless the chances of a second Italian victory in this decade are highly respected. Between 5.75 and 7.5 is offered for Italian victory for those who believe in Angelina Mango‘s potential.

The top five is now completed by Ukraine, who have lost the momentum they had at the beginning of this year’s Eurovision season when they were considered the early favourites to win in Malmö. With the gap between the four leading countries having widened, bookers are offering Alyona Alyona & Jerry Heil’s victory at the highest odds we have seen offered during this year’s Eurovision season. Ukraine‘s fourth win in the Eurovision Song Contest is currently being bet at odds of between 8.5 and 17.

Top 10

With the countries in the Top 5 having stood out in comparison to those below them in the betting tables, let’s take a look at the rest of the top ten. In sixth place, France has quietly risen to sixth, and has consistently remained in or on the fringes of the top ten for most of this Eurovision season. Up to 21 times the stakes are returned by “Mon Amour” and Slimane, with France gaining one place in the last few days.

Among the gainers in recent weeks is Israel, which has moved up to seventh place. Eden Golan and “Hurricane” have gained four places in the last period, steadily gaining momentum as evidenced by the reactions she is garnering on social media on the official Eurovision account. Israel’s victory is offered at odds between 21 and 36.

Greece is still in eighth place. The “tailwind” after the release of Marina Satti‘s “ZARI” brought our country inside the Top 10, with Greece now stabilizing within it and having a safety margin over its pursuers.

Marina Satti‘s win is currently being played at odds between 21 and 41, slightly higher compared to our last analysis, with bookers, however, giving a vote of confidence to the Greek entry.

The big winner in recent weeks has clearly been Ireland, who have now moved up to ninth place, being five places higher compared to our last analysis. Up to 51 times the stake is returned on Ireland’s win with Bambie Thug‘s “Doomsday Blue“.

Rounding out the top ten is Belgium, who have been the disappointment so far this Eurovision season. Mustii‘s pre-party performances with his mildly unacceptable rendition of “Before the Party’s Over” has brought Belgium into tenth place, showing a drop of four places compared to our last analysis. Belgium’s victory is currently being bet on odds between 26 and 67.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kiGDvM14Kwg

Will Switzerland achieve its third victory in the Eurovision Song Contest with Nemo’s “The Code”? Tell us in the comments!

Stay tuned to Eurovisionfun for all the developments!

Bets: The first odds for advancing to the final!

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Just over three weeks separate us from the start of rehearsals in Malmö ahead of the 68th Eurovision Song Contest. As we head into the final stretch just before Eurovision 2024 takes place in the Swedish city, one of Eurovisionfun ‘s most loved and talked about columns is back, with our Eurovision 2024 betting analysis back again.

With bookmakers having started to offer more betting sections for the upcoming contest in recent hours, we take a look at the qualification odds for this year’s Eurovision grand final from the two semi-finals on May 7 and 9.

First semi-final

The first semi-final on May 7 is expected to be particularly competitive, according to the bookers. With just three companies offering the possibility of qualifying for Saturday’s grand final so far, the sample may be small, but it is still largely representative of what we will see on Tuesday’s show.

Four countries are considered by the betting companies to be guaranteed to qualify for the grand final of this year’s competition. Croatia, Ukraine, Finland and Lithuania are offered at odds of under 1.05, a big gap compared to the other eleven participating countries in this semi-final.

Particularly increased chances of qualifying for the grand final are given by bookers to Luxembourg, Cyprus, Serbia and Poland. The group of these countries is being played at odds between 1.25 and 1.33, which translates betting-wise into a qualification probability of over 70% for three of them(Cyprus, Serbia, Poland) and over 80% for Luxembourg in its return to Eurovision after more than three decades.

A battle is expected to be waged for the last two tickets to the grand final of the 68th Eurovision Song Contest, where four countries are expected to fight for their place in the contest. Slovenia, Portugal, Australia and Ireland are being played at odds of between 1.44 and 1.75, with the former two currently looking like the frontrunners to get past the first semi-final hurdle, with all of them having more than a 53% chance of qualifying.

Finally, regarding the remaining three countries in the first semi-final, Azerbaijan, Moldova and Iceland, betting companies see them as the big underdogs for qualification. With regard to Azerbaijan, their chances of qualification are far from negligible, as they are offered odds of more than doubling, approaching 2.25. In contrast, Moldova and Iceland seem to have little chance of making it to the final of the 68th Eurovision Song Contest, with Moldova being offered odds of between 3 and 3.75, while Iceland is offered odds of between 3 and 5.2.

Second semi-final

Things seem to be clearer in the second semi-final regarding the chances of the sixteen participating countries qualifying for the grand final on 11 May. The countries taking part in the second semi-final appear to be divided by the bookers into five sub-groups.

The first sub-group is made up of the Netherlands, Switzerland and Belgium. The three Central and Western European countries, which occupy three of the top six places in the odds of winning this year’s competition, are considered by bookmakers to be certain to qualify, which is why their odds of qualification are no more than 1.02.

All five countries in the second sub-group seem largely certain to qualify. Greece, Norway, Israel, Armenia and Austria are offered odds of between 1.04 and 1.2, which translates into qualification odds of 85% for Greece, 83% for Norway, 82% for Israel and Armenia and 81% for Estonia.

A “category” on its own is Estonia, whose qualification to the grand final is considered the most likely scenario, with bookers giving them around 70% odds and playing at odds between 1.28 and 1.33.

Georgia and Denmark are set to battle it out for the final ticket, with Georgia and Denmark both distancing themselves from the leading nine countries and the remaining five in the running. At odds of around 1.75, Georgia ‘s qualification is being played at odds of between 1.67 and 2.22, with bookies giving 52% odds to the Caucasians and 49% to the Scandinavians.

Finally, the last sub-group is the remaining five countries that will take part in the second semi-final on May 9. Latvia, Albania, San Marino, Malta and the Czech Republic are considered by bookers as the underdogs to qualify for the Eurovision 2024 final, as all of them have odds between 27% and 35% and are offered at odds that return around three times the initial stake.

In any case, with the pre-parties continuing in the coming weeks and with the start of rehearsals for the 68th Eurovision Song Contest less than a month away, the only thing that is certain is that the shake-up will continue and will culminate as the days for the big celebration in Malmö approach. Competition is fierce and all possibilities are open.

Which countries do you think will qualify for the grand final of the 68th Eurovision Song Contest? Tell us in the comments!

Bets: Upset at the top – Switzerland ahead!

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A few days after the first pre-party of this year’s Eurovision season, one of Eurovisionfun ‘s most loved and talked about columns is back, with betting analysis for Eurovision 2024 back again.

As you prepare for the pivotal next few days with the continuation of the pre-parties, the bookers have already got down to business, with the Eurovision 2024 winner section already being offered to all bookmakers. So, we’re taking the opportunity to bring you the so far for the next competition.

Battle for five

It’s “chaotic” in the top five of the betting tables ahead of Eurovision 2024, less than a month before the start of the rehearsals. Switzerland, Croatia, Italy, Ukraine and the Netherlands have stood out in comparison to the other participants of the 68th Eurovision Song Contest, which leads us to an unprecedented situation in the betting chronicles of our favourite competition.

Just two days after Nemo ‘s appearance at the Madrid party, Switzerland has turned the betting tables upside down, now in first place. Already since the previous time, “The Code” was gaining ground day by day, until the Swiss representative’s maiden live performance the day before yesterday came to turn the previous data upside down. Switzerland’ s victory is now being bet at odds between 3.5 and 4.5.

Just over a month has passed since Croatia stayed at the top, with the Croats now dropping to second place, a stone’s throw away from the now leading Switzerland. Baby Lasagna ‘s win is currently being bet at odds of between 3.5 and 4.6, slightly higher than last week’s odds.

Switzerland’ s rise to the top has resulted in Italy, in addition to Croatia, losing a place. Thus, Angelina Mango with “La Noia” is considered by the bookers as the third favourite to win in Malmö. However, Italy ‘s odds of winning have dropped compared to our last analysis a couple of weeks ago, with the possibility of a second Italian victory in the current decade considered highly likely. Between 4.5 and 6 are the odds offered on an Italian win for those who believe in Angelina Mango‘s potential.

Ukraine is now in fourth place, but clearly on a downward trend. With the gap between the three leading countries widening, bookers are offering Alyona Alyona & Jerry Heil ‘s victory at the highest odds we have seen offered during this year’s Eurovision season. Ukraine ‘s fourth win in the Eurovision Song Contest is currently being bet at odds between 5.5 and 8.

Finally, the top five is completed by the Netherlands. If we’re talking about winners of the last few weeks, surely the Eurovision 2021 host could not be absent from the discussion, with Joost Klein ‘s ‘Europapa‘ having made a big impression and sweeping the charts and streams across much of the Old Continent, being one of the dark horses of this year’s contest. Between 6.5 and 8 is the Dutch win in Malmö, well below our last analysis and with the Netherlands very likely to move up to fourth place in the next few hours.

Top 10, Greece and Cyprus

With the countries in the Top 5 having stood out in comparison to those below them in the betting tables, let’s take a look at the rest of the top ten. In sixth place is Belgium. Belgium ‘s win is being bet at odds between 11 and 15, being on par compared to our last analysis, with bookies giving Mustii and ‘Before the Party’s Over‘ respectable odds for a positive result in Malmo.

France have quietly moved up to seventh place, and have consistently remained in or on the fringes of the top ten for most of this Eurovision season. Up to 23 times the stakes are returned by “Mon Amour” and Slimane, with France gaining two places in the last few days.

One place has been lost by Greece, which is now eighth. The “tailwind” after the release of Marina Satti ‘s “ZARI” brought the country within the Top 10, with Greece now stabilizing within it and not threatened to be lower in the near future.

Marina Satti ‘s win is currently being played at odds between 17 and 26, slightly higher compared to our last analysis, with bookers, however, giving a vote of confidence to the Greek entry.

Up one place for hosts Sweden, who are now ninth. Sweden ‘s home win over Marcus & Martinus is offered at odds of between 26 and 41, which are the highest bookers have offered this year on the possibility of a historic eighth home win for this year’s hosts.

Rounding out the top ten is Austria, who also gained a place after the Madrid party as Kaleen and “We Will Rave” left a positive impression. Up to 51 times the stake returns the possibility of an Austrian victory in Malmö.

In any case, with the pre-parties continuing in the coming weeks and with the start of rehearsals for the 68th Eurovision Song Contest less than a month away, the only thing that is certain is that the shake-up will continue and will culminate as the days for the big celebration in Malmö approach. The competition is fierce and with no one favourite standing out, all bets are off.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kiGDvM14Kwg

Will Switzerland achieve its third Eurovision Song Contest win with Nemo’s “The Code”? Tell us in the comments!

Stay tuned to Eurovisionfun for all the developments!

Bets: Italy is now the second-favorite to win Eurovision 2024 | Ukraine in the third place!

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When it comes to Eurovision 2024 betting odds, the surprises do not stop from coming. However, there is no clear favorite to win this year’s edition, as Croatia, which currently sits in the first place of the betting odds, has not reached yet Loreen’s winning chances.

Angelina Mango is now the second-favorite to win Eurovision 2024, behind Croatia and Baby Lasagna, after Italy managed to knock out Ukraine and Alyona Alyona and Jerry Heil from the second place.

The country’s chances of winning Eurovision 2024 were enhanced by Angelina Mango’s performances on RAI, along with RAI’s decision to have their artist participate in a pre-party after years of absence. The aforementioned reflects the country’s strong interest in the competition.

The numerous changes we’ve seen this year at the betting odds indicate an exciting year in which we won’t know the winner right away, as we have in the previous two seasons. Given that, we’re probably in for a repeat of 2021, when things got clearer during rehearsals, as before there were three-four songs fighting in “equal terms” for the victory.

Angelina Mango is the Italian representative in Eurovision 2024 with her Sanremo-winning entry “La Noia“. Italy, as a member of the BIG FIVE, is automatically granted a spot in the Grand Final of May 11, while Angelina Mango will also present her entry during the second semi-final.

You can, also, watch EurovisionFun’s reaction video on “La Noia“, below:

Do you think Italy could achieve its second win in just three years? Stay tuned to EurovisionFun for all the news!