Bets: The odds after the completion of the national finals!

A few hours have passed since the conclusion of the national finals of this year’s Eurovision season, with Sweden and Portugal being the last two countries to choose the song that will represent them in the 68th Eurovision Song Contest.

That’s why one of Eurovisionfun ‘s most loved and talked about columns is back, with our Eurovision 2024 betting analyses back again.

As you prepare for the pivotal next few days with the unveiling of the remaining entries ahead of May, bookers are already getting down to business, with the Eurovision 2024 winner section already being offered to some bookmakers. So, we’re taking the opportunity to bring you the so far for the next competition.

Croatia tops the list – Shuffles in the top five

The situation at the top remains unchanged, with Croatia having been in first place for ten days now. Baby Lasagna ‘s sweeping victory at Dora has put Croatia in the top spot in the betting tables for the first time in their history. Croatia’ s victory is currently being bet at odds between 4 and 5.25, odds slightly higher compared to those played when our last analysis was written.

Ukraine remains in second place. Alyona Alyona & Jerry Heil may have fallen from the top spot, however, their distance from leading Croatia is very small, with Ukraine’s fourth win in the Eurovision Song Contest being bet at odds between 4.33 and 5.6.

Italy has moved back up to third place. More or less at the same level are the odds of Angelina Mango winning with “La Noia” , returning between 7.5 and 10 times the stake of anyone who believes in the second Italian victory in the last four years.

And now let’s go to the countries that complete the top five, where we have two entries that have risen significantly in recent days. Fourth is now Switzerland after the release of Nemo ‘s “The Code“, which has moved up six places compared to our last analysis, now directly threatening third place Italy. Switzerland ‘s victory is being bet at odds between 6 and 10 and it is only a matter of hours – it seems – to move into third place.

The top five is completed by the Netherlands, with Joost Klein ‘s “Europapa” having won the impressions and hearts of a large part of the public. The Western European country’s entry is the biggest winner of the last few days, being 20 places higher than in our analysis ten days ago. Between 11 and 15 is the Dutch victory in Malmö.

Top 10

Belgium is in sixth place. The release of Mustii ‘s “Before the Party’s Over” a few days ago seems to have initially excited the betting companies, who now have the Western European country out of the Top 5 a few days after its release. Belgium ‘s victory is being bet at odds between 11 and 17, being only slightly higher than those of the leading Netherlands.

Sweden dropped to seventh place, a few hours after the grand final of this year’s edition of Melodifestivalen where Marcus & Martinus won with “Unforgettable“. Sweden ‘s home win is offered at odds between 11 and 19, marking a slight rise compared to our last analysis and dropping this year’s organisers by one place.

Eighth place is taken by France, who have been trending upwards in recent days, especially after Slimane ‘s performance in the Croatian national final a week ago. Up to 21 times the stake is returned on “Mon Amour“.

In ninth place is now Georgia. Just one day before the release of Nutsa Buzaladze ‘s “Firefighter“, the Caucasian country has moved into the top ten, dropping its odds sharply in recent times and, at the same time, creating a climate of anticipation and expectations for the unveiling of this year’s Georgian entry. Georgia’s victory is being played at odds between 15 and 26.

Rounding out the top ten is Israel, who return to the top ten just hours before the release of “Hurricane“, which Eden Golan will compete with in Malmö. Like leading Georgia, Israel’s win returns up to 26 times the stakes.

Do you think Baby Lasagna will be able to give Croatia its maiden victory as an independent country in the Eurovision Song Contest? Tell us in the comments!

Betting Odds: Croatia Takes the Lead surpassing Ukraine!

With less than two weeks left until the official release of all entries for the 68th Eurovision Song Contest, we are entering the most crucial period of the pre-Eurovision season, with national finals and entry reveals multiplying day by day.

For this reason, one of Eurovisionfun’s most beloved and discussed columns returns, with the betting analyses for the Eurovision 2024 once again here.

While you prepare for the crucial weeks ahead with most entries being revealed for May, bookmakers have already begun their work, with the Eurovision 2024 winner section already being offered by some companies. Seizing the opportunity, we present to you the latest developments for the upcoming contest.

Upset at the Top

After a long time, the top spot in the betting odds for Eurovision 2024 has a new holder, with Croatia surpassing Ukraine just a few minutes ago. The sweeping victory of Baby Lasagna at Dora brought Croatia to the top of the betting odds for the first time in its history. The victory of Croatia is currently bet on at odds between 4 and 5, which have been steadily decreasing in recent days.

Thus, in the second place is now Ukraine. Alyona Alyona & Jerry Heil may have fallen from the top, however, their distance from the leading Croatia remains small, although the momentum currently favors Croatia. Ukraine’s odds are on the rise, with a potential victory more than quadrupling the bet.

In the third position, Iceland has risen again after the appearance of Bashar Murad in the Icelandic national final. “Wild West” seems to have impressed in recent days, with bookmakers significantly reducing Iceland’s odds, ranging from 7 to 9.

Reflecting the rise of Croatia to the top and Iceland to third, was the fall of Italy to the fourth position. However, this development does not mean an increase in the odds for Angelina Mango with “La Noia“. Italy is bet on at odds from 7 to 10, at the same levels as our previous analysis when it was in second place.

Completing the top five is the United Kingdom, which, however, has a considerable gap compared to the leading countries. With the release of “Dizzy” in the next few hours, it remains to be seen how bookmakers will be influenced by the finalized form of the British entry for Malmo. Currently, the UK’s victory returns up to 15 times the bet.

Top 10

In the sixth position and for the first time outside the Top 5 during this year’s Eurovision season, Sweden has fallen. The relatively low level of this year’s Melodifestivalen has raised the odds for the host country. A Swedish victory on home soil is offered at odds between 13 and 17, marking a slight increase compared to our last analysis.

In the seventh position is Belgium. The release of “Before the Party’s Over” by Mustii a few days ago seems to have thrilled betting companies, which now have the country outside the Top 5 a few days after its release. Belgium’s victory is bet on at odds between 13 and 17, at levels similar to Sweden.

In the eighth position, one finds France, which presents upward trends in recent days, especially after Slimane’s appearance in the Croatian national final a week ago. France’s odds return up to 21 times the bet with “Mon Amour.”

Ninth is now “Luktelk” by Silvester Belt from Lithuania, which may have dropped one position compared to our last analysis but remains within the top ten. Lithuania’s maiden victory is played at similar odds to those of France.

Finally, Switzerland completes the top ten, just hours after the release of “The Code” by Nemo. Upward trends for the country in Central Europe, as seen in the betting odds, with Switzerland possibly to climb even higher in the coming days. Switzerland’s victory is bet on at odds between 17 and 26.

Do you think Baby Lasagna will give Croatia its maiden victory as an independent country in the Eurovision Song Contest? Let us know in the comments!

Betting Odds Reshuffled with Ukraine Leading the Pack!

With less than a month remaining until the official release of all entries for the 68th Eurovision Song Contest, we are entering the most crucial month of the pre-Eurovision period, with national finals multiplying week by week.

For this reason, one of Eurovisionfun’s most beloved and talked-about columns returns, with betting analyses for Eurovision 2024 back in action.

While you prepare for the pivotal weeks ahead with the revelations of most entries ahead of May, bookmakers have already been hard at work, with the winner section of Eurovision 2024 already being offered by some companies. So, let’s take this opportunity and present to you what we know so far for the next contest.

Ukraine Emerges as the Top Favorite

As mentioned earlier, February is the month of most national finals, and understandably, this has caused reshuffles in the betting tables. Far ahead in the first position sits Ukraine. The Eastern European country, which has consistently topped the betting odds in recent weeks, is considered the major favorite by bookmakers to win in Malmo.

The triumph of Alyona Alyona & Jerry Heil at Vidbir, where they “flattened” their competition, has skyrocketed the odds for Ukraine to win the 68th Eurovision Song Contest. At the moment, a Ukrainian victory returns up to 3.8 times the bet.

Italy has now risen to the second position. Angelina Mango’s victory with “La Noia” at the San Remo Festival has put the Mediterranean country in a particularly advantageous position, with bookmakers considering it the second most likely winner at the moment. Italy’s odds range from 7.5 to 10.

Croatia Takes the Third Spot

Croatia now sits in third place. The release of the video clip for Baby Lasagna’s entry, considered the major favorite to represent the Balkans in Malmo, has propelled Croatia to third place, just a breath away from second-placed Italy. Croatia’s victory is currently bet on odds ranging between 8 and 10.

In the fourth position is Sweden. The host country of the 68th Eurovision Song Contest is once again considered one of the big favorites of this year’s competition, with SVT executives and Swedish Eurofans eager for the historic eighth victory to take place on Swedish soil. A victory for Sweden is offered at odds between 11 and 15, showing a slight increase compared to our last analysis.

Rounding up the top five is Belgium. The recent release of “Before the Party’s Over” by Mustii seems to have thrilled betting companies, placing the Western European country within the Top 5 for the first time during this Eurovision season. Belgium’s victory is bet on odds between 10 and 15, just below the fourth position.

Top 10

In sixth place with clearly declining trends is the United Kingdom. Olly Alexander’sDizzy” teaser seems to have neither thrilled nor convinced bookmakers, who have now placed the United Kingdom outside the top five. It’s a significant drop, with the UK’s victory now returning up to 15 times the bet.

From there onwards, deviations from the group of leading six countries begin. Thus, in seventh place is Norway, whose victory now returns up to 21 times the bet. Similar odds are found for Iceland in seventh place, awaiting the second semifinal of the national selection, where Bashar Murad, of Palestinian descent, competes.

Lithuania follows in eighth place, which has returned to the top ten after Silvester Belt’s selection with “Luktelk“. Odds range between 17 and 21. France has returned to the top ten after a long time, with Slimane, whose potential victory triples the bet placed on it. Finally, Switzerland completes the Top 10, with odds ranging between 23 and 34.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k_8cNbF8FLI

Do you believe Alyona Alyona & Jerry Heil can make history in Malmo and give Ukraine its fourth victory in its twenty-year presence at the Eurovision Song Contest? Let us know in the comments!

France: Slimane is in the studio for the English version of “Mon Amour”!

Slimane, the French representative in Eurovision 2024, revealed that he is in the studio preparing an English version for his entry “Mon Amour“.

 

Δείτε αυτή τη δημοσίευση στο Instagram.

 

Η δημοσίευση κοινοποιήθηκε από το χρήστη SLIMANE (@slimane)

 

It is unknown whether the English version of “Mon Amour” will be performed on the Eurovision stage or it will just be released as an alternative version of the song. The latter is the most likely scenario.

Slimane was internally selected by France Télévisions and his entry “Mon Amour” was revealed back in Νovember, being the first Eurovision 2024 entry to be released.

Who is Slimane?

Slimane Nebchi is 34 years old and is of Algerian origin. He won The Voice of France in 2016 and ever since his career has exploded. His four studio albums have all reached the first place in the french charts and he has also charted in other countries’ charts. He was a coach in the Voice of Belgium. He has also participated in musicals and some films as an actor, while he is also a philanthropist.

The artist is probably the biggest name to represent France in the Eurovision Song Contest for many years. As the head of french delegation, Alexandra Redde-Amiel said, France is heading for the trophy.

The afore-mentioned aim is also reflected in charts. Impressively, for French standards, Slimane’s “Mon Amour” has been charting for months on the French Spotify list.

France, as a member of the BIG 5, is automatically qualified to the Grand Final of May 11, while the viewers will be able to cast their votes on the second semi-final.

You can also watch EurovisionFun’s reaction video on “Mon Amour“, below:

Stay tuned to EurovisionFun for all the news! 

Eurovision 2024: Postcard filming for Eurovison 2024 has begun!

Postcard filming for Eurovision 2024 has begun, with Slovenia and France shooting their own in the last days.

The national broadcast of Slovenia, RTV SLO and the french representative, Slimane, have revealed that filming of the Eurovision 2024 postcards is in progress. Based on a story that was posted on Instagram by RTV SLO, it can be assumed that the focus of ths year’s postcards will be the artists , as was in 2016, when Sweden last hosted the Eurovision Song Contest.

Last year the BBC chose to present through the postcards, locations from Ukraine, the UK and participating nations, whilst this year it is yet unknown if the postcards are being shot on Sweden, the act’s home nation or both. More details regarding the stories behind the postcards are expected to be released in the following weeks.

Eurovision 2024

Loreen won the 67th Eurovision Song Contest with her song “Tattoo” in behalf of Sweden, making her the first woman that has won the contest twice.

Overall Sweden has succeeded seven Eurovision victories (in 1974, 1984, 1991, 1999, 2012, 2015 and 2023). This makes Sweden the joint most successful country in ESC alongside Ireland. Malmö will host the Eurovision Song Contest 2024, which is the third time, following hosts in 1992 and 2013.

Eurovision 2024: National finals songs on the Spotify charts!

There are three semi-finals and four national finals happening tonight, making it the first Super Saturday of 2024. Let’s see whether any of the songs from these finalists made it onto the charts by looking at the Spotify charts of a few countries.

Ukraine

Teresa & Maria, a duet by Alyona Alyona and Jerry Heil, is currently topping the Ukrainian Spotify list and is the betting favourite to win Vidbir 2024. This is a first for Ukraine and likely portends the song’s victory in the national final. YAKTAK and LaLaLa are positioned below, at position 33.

Norway

In Norway, however, things are rather different. According to local Spotify statistics, the odd’s favourite song, “Ulveham”, only peaked at 118th place. Other entries, such KEIINO at number 46 and Erika Norwich’s “My AI” at number 31, were ranked higher. This year’s climate differs from prior years when MGP favourites ranked in the top ten of the chart.

Spain

The Benidorm Fest 2024 final is happening tonight. St Pedro, the frontrunner according to the bookies, is no longer in the charts, whereas Nebulossa with Zorra is in 93rd place. Marlena, who did not qualify for the grand final, is ranked 182nd.

Lithuania

Lithuania’s Eurovision 2020 and 2021 representatives, the Roop, are ranked 31st. Shower, with “Impossible” from the third semi-final, is at number 29, while Silvester Belt, the winner of the first semi-final, is still at the top of the list with “Luktelk.”

Let’s take a look at the charts of a few more countries:

France

Impressively, for French standards, Slimane’s “Mon Amour” is currently at 79th place on the French Spotify list, where it has been charting for 54 days in a row.

Estonia

For a record-breaking 57 days in a row, 5MIINUST and Puuluup remain at the top of the charts. As of yet, no other song has attained the same level of success, suggesting that their song (nendest) narkootikumidest ei tea me (kull) midagi is the clear favourite to win. Vox Populi, a contender for the Finnish national final, comes in second. OLLIE is positioned 78th. Wunderbar is in 34th place, and Oblivion, which did not make it to the final, is in 197th.

Luxembourg

After making its debut at number one, Tali’s Fighter is currently at number 33 on the chart.

Finland

Every song participating in the competition is listed on the chart, with the odds-on favourite, Paskana by Sara Siipola, coming in at number nine. Mania is in 25th place, and Vox Populi is in 19th place. Number 81 is Sini Sabotage, number 90 is Cyan Kicks, position 113 is No Rules!, and position 135 is Glow.

This year, there is a lot of interest in Eurovision, with many countries attempting to choose songs that would resonate with their national audiences!


Stay tuned on Eurovisionfun for all the updates on Eurovision 2024!

France: President Macron on Slimane’s Eurovision participation!

During an official visit to Sweden, French President Emmanuel Macron discussed his country’s record in the Eurovision Song Contest as well as Slimane‘s participation this year.

More specifically, he stated:

I have to confess that France has not always been very successful, at least as Sweden, because the last time we won Eurovision was in 1977. But we hope for the best this year with Slimane


Below, you may listen to “Mon Amour”, the song with which Slimane will represent France in Malmö:

About the artist

Slimane Nebchi is 34 years old and is of algerian origin. He won The Voice of France in 2016 and ever since his career has exploded. His four studio albums have all reached the first place in the french charts and he has also charted in other countries’ charts. He was a coach in the Voice of Belgium. He has also participated in musicals and some films as an actor, while he is also a philanthropist.

The artist is probably the biggest name to represent France in the Eurovision Song Contest for many years. As the head of french delegation, Alexandra Redde-Amiel said, France is heading for the trophy.


Stay tuned on Eurovisionfun for all the news regarding Eurovision 2024!

Eurovision 2024: The Semi-Final Allocation Draw Results!

Malmö with a very nice event hosted a few minutes ago the draw for the semi-finals of the 68th Eurovision Song Contest.

The analyzes of the fans and not only, have been on fire for a few minutes now. Since the theories based on the pre-history of the countries in the competition, it is a first insight into how passable the qualification to the final is or not. In other words, it’s time to make our predictions, about who will go through to the final and who are the favorites to say goodbye to Malmö early…

The presenters and the handover ceremony

Presenters of the Eurovision 2024 semi-final draw were Pernilla Månsson Colt and Farah Abadi. It is worth mentioning that Pernilla Månsson Colt was also the presenter of the corresponding draw in 2013, eleven years ago when Malmö hosted the Eurovision Song Contest for the last time. Both of them are part of the SVT staff, being some of the most beloved faces of the Swedish state broadcaster.

During the draw, the ceremony of handing over and accepting the emblem of the contest took place. The mayor of Liverpool, Steven Rotheram, formally handed over the “keys to the event” to the mayor of Malmö, Katrin Stjernfeldt Jammeh.

Draw Procedure

Big 5 and Sweden

With the big winner of last year’s competition, Sweden, directly in the final, along with the Big 5 (UK, France, Italy, Germany, Spain), the first part of the draw determined the semi-final that the direct finalists would vote for.

Will vote in the 1st Semi-Final:

  • Sweden
  • United Kingdom
  • Germany

Will vote in the 2nd Semi-Final:

  • Spain
  • Italy
  • France

In the semi-final that the six aforementioned countries were drawn to broadcast and vote for, the video from their dress rehearsal will also be shown. This was done at Eurovision 2016 for the first time, for reasons of equal exposure of the countries directly in the final and the countries that qualify from the semi-finals. Essentially, viewers see each entry twice during the shows.

Semi-Final Allocation Draw

The allocation draw for the two semi-finals had two parts. In the first part the 31 countries participating in the semi-finals were drawn in which of the two they will compete in. Fifteen countries will compete in the first semi-final and sixteen in the second semi-final.

In the second part, each country learned whether it will appear in the first or second half of the semi-final in which it will compete. The exact order of appearance will be determined by the EBU and the show’s producers at a later date.

1st Semi-final (May 7):

1st Half

  • Ukraine
  • Cyprus
  • Poland
  • Serbia
  • Lithuania
  • Croatia
  • Ireland

2nd Half

  • Slovenia
  • Iceland
  • Finland
  • Portugal
  • Luxembourg
  • Australia
  • Azerbaijan
  • Moldova

2nd Semi-Final (May 9):

1st Half

  • Austria
  • Malta
  • Switzerland
  • Greece
  • Czechia
  • Albania
  • Denmark
  • Armenia

2nd Half

  • Israel
  • Estonia
  • Georgia
  • Netherlands
  • Norway
  • Latvia
  • San Marino
  • Belgium

Malmö will host the 68th Eurovision Song Contest from 7 to 11 May at the Malmö Arena. The motto of this year’s event, as chosen by the organisers, is “United by Music“, retaining the motto first chosen for last year’s contest in Liverpool.

You can see the draw again through the link below:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q_-2hMEq5sk

Stay tuned to Eurovisionfun for all the developments regarding Eurovision 2024!

 

Eurovision 2024: Tonight the Allocation Draw!

At 19:00 CET and live from Malmö, Sweden, the draw for the Eurovision 2024 semi-finals will take place tonight.

During today’s event, there will also be a handover of the event’s banner from the city of Liverpool to the city of Malmö. For this reason, both the Mayor of Liverpool, Steven Rotheram, and the Mayor of the Swedish city, Katrin Stjernfeldt Jammeh, will be present at today’s draw.

The hosts

The hosts of tonight’s draw for the semi-finals of the 68th Eurovision Song Contest will be Pernilla Månsson Colt and Farah Abadi. It is worth mentioning that Pernilla Månsson Colt was the presenter of the equivalent draw in 2013, eleven years ago when Malmö hosted the Eurovision Song Contest for the last time.

The draw procedure

The first part of the draw will determine which semi-final will be broadcast and voted for by each of the six countries that are directly in the final on 11 May (Sweden, France, Germany, Spain, Italy, and the United Kingdom).

The second part of the draw will determine which semi-final and which half the other 31 participating countries will compete in. As in recent years, the exact order of appearance will be determined by the event producers at a later date.

The 31 countries have been divided into five pots, based on historical voting patterns as calculated by Eurovision’s official voting partner, Digame.

Drawing countries from different pots aims to reduce the likelihood of so-called neighbour voting and increases the suspense in the semi-finals.

Pots

Pot 1
  • 🇦🇱 Albania
  • 🇦🇹 Austria
  • 🇨🇭 Switzerland
  • 🇭🇷 Croatia
  • 🇷🇸 Serbia
  • 🇸🇮 Slovenia
Pot 2
  • 🇦🇺 Australia
  • 🇩🇰 Denmark
  • 🇪🇪 Estonia
  • 🇫🇮 Finland
  • 🇮🇸 Iceland
  • 🇳🇴 Norway
Pot 3
  • 🇦🇲 Armenia
  • 🇦🇿 Azerbaijan
  • 🇬🇪 Georgia
  • 🇮🇱 Israel
  • 🇱🇻 Latvia
  • 🇱🇹 Lithuania
  • 🇺🇦 Ukraine
Pot 4
  • 🇨🇾 Cyprus
  • 🇬🇷 Greece
  • 🇮🇪 Ireland
  • 🇲🇹 Malta
  • 🇵🇹 Portugal
  • 🇸🇲 San Marino
Pot 5
  • 🇧🇪 Belgium
  • 🇨🇿 Czechia
  • 🇱🇺 Luxembourg
  • 🇳🇱 Netherlands
  • 🇲🇩 Moldova
  • 🇵🇱 Poland

https://twitter.com/Eurovision/status/1751972070479565001

So in the evening, we all tune in for the draw of the semi-finals of our favourite contest. You can watch the draw on the official Eurovision channel on YouTube.

Stay tuned to Eurovisionfun for all the developments regarding Eurovision 2024!

Eurovision 2024: The Semi-final allocation pots!

The Semi-Final Allocation Draw 2024 will take place tomorrow Tuesday 30 January at 19:00 CET live from Malmo, alongside a ceremony which sees the Host City insignia pass from previous hosts Liverpool to Malmo.

https://youtu.be/Q_-2hMEq5sk

The draw will be hosted by Pernilla Månsson Colt and Farah Abadi and fans will be able to watch on the official Eurovision YouTube channel.

The Allocation Draw will determine whether countries participate in the First Semi-Final (Tuesday 7 May at 21:00 CEST) or the Second Semi-Final (Thursday 9 May at 21:00 CEST). Also randomly allocated is whether a country will perform in the first or second half of the Semi-Final they’ve drawn.

Semi-Final Allocation Draw: How does it work?

Sweden as the Host Country and reigning champion respectively, along with the other 6 members of the so-called ‘Big 6’ participating countries (France, Germany, Italy, Spain and United Kingdom) do not compete in the Semi-Finals, but their domestic audiences do get to vote in one of them… so before the competing countries are allocated a place in a Semi-Final, it will be randomly determined which of the Semi-Finals the Big 6 will each be allowed to vote on.

The next part of the draw will determine in which Semi-Final and in which half of the respective Semi-Final the other 31 participating countries will perform in.

Semi-Final Allocation Pots 2024

Pot 1

Pot 2

Pot 3

  • Albania
  • Austria
  • Switzerland
  • Croatia
  • Serbia
  • Slovenia
  • Denmark
  • Australia
  • Finland
  • Iceland
  • Norway
  • Estonia
  • Armenia
  • Azerbaijan
  • Georgia
  • Israel
  • Latvia
  • Lithuania
  • Ukraine

Pot 4

Pot 5

Pot 6

  • Cyprus
  • Greece
  • Ireland
  • Malta
  • Portugal
  • San Marino
  • Belgium
  • Czech Republic
  • Netherlands
  • Moldova
  • Poland
  • Luxembourg
  • France
  • Italy
  • Germany
  • Spain
  • United Kingdom
  • Sweden

 

Drawing countries from different pots helps to reduce the chance of so-called neighbourly voting and increases suspense in the Semi-Finals. You can get a good idea of how it will all work by watching the 2022 Allocation Draw on the official Eurovision YouTube channel.

The Eurovision Song Contest is due to take place on 7, 9 and 11 May 2024 in Malmo, Sweden, who won the Contest thanks to Loreen winning in 2023.

Stay tuned at Eurovisionfun for all the updates!

Source: Eurovision.tv