Eurovision 2024: Ukraine is now the frontrunner to win!

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As February, the most crucial month of the pre-Eurovision period, unfolds, national finals are multiplying week by week. Simultaneously, an increasing number of songs that will compete in the 68th Eurovision Song Contest are being revealed. For this reason, one of Eurovisionfun’s most beloved and discussed columns returns, featuring betting analyses for Eurovision 2024.

As you prepare for an “hot” Eurovision February with the reveals of most entries ahead of May, bookmakers are already hard at work. The section for the winner of Eurovision 2024 is already available at some companies. Let’s take this opportunity to present what has been observed so far for the upcoming competition.

Ukraine Emerges as a Strong Favorite

As mentioned in the introduction, February is the month of numerous national finals. The first “Super Saturday” of the year has already caused reshuffling in the betting odds. Ukraine stands far ahead in the first position. The Eastern European country, consistently at the top of the betting boards in recent weeks, is considered the major favorite by bookmakers to win in Malmo.

The triumph of Alyona Alyona & Jerry Heil at Vidbir, where they convincingly outperformed their competitors, has significantly affected the odds for Ukraine‘s victory in the 68th Eurovision Song Contest. At present, Ukrainian victory returns up to 3.5 times the stake, compared to odds ranging from 5.7 to 7 just a few days ago.

With the widespread sympathy towards Ukraine due to the ongoing Russian invasion and the quality of Ukrainian entries in Eurovision, betting companies consider the fourth win for Ukraine in its twenty-year Eurovision history highly probable. The competition’s current odds have also been influenced by the relatively weak competition compared to previous years.

Top 5

The United Kingdom maintains its second position. The odds for the United Kingdom have dropped and are lower than they were ten days ago. The assignment to Olly Alexander and the expectations created by the BBC’s choice put pressure on the odds, ranging between 6 and 7. Currently, the United Kingdom appears as the most likely competitor to Ukraine based on bookmakers.

Italy retains the third position just a day before the highly anticipated Sanremo Festival, which boasts one of its strongest line-ups in its long history. The odds for Italy have slightly decreased, and the country is currently offered in odds between 8 and 10. The events in the small Ligurian town in the coming days are expected to influence Italy’s standing in the betting odds.

Iceland occupies the fourth position. Bashar Murad‘s song in Iceland’s national final did not convince bookmakers that it could secure the coveted victory in Reykjavik. Iceland has fallen to the fourth position with noticeably declining trends. The potential maiden victory for Iceland is currently being betted between 7 and 12 times the stake.

Sweden secures the fifth position. As the host country of the 68th Eurovision Song Contest, Sweden is once again considered one of the major favorites. The odds for Sweden winning within its borders are between 11 and 13, showing a slight increase compared to the last analysis.

Top 10

In the sixth position is Israel, which sees its odds fluctuate but still maintains a relatively high position. The geopolitical reality and the war in Gaza keep Israel in contention, with victory odds ranging between 11 and 13.

From seventh place onward, significant deviations from the top six countries begin. Lithuania, in seventh place, has seen a considerable drop in odds, with the potential maiden victory returning up to 26 times the stake.

The same trend is observed for Norway, Ireland, and Croatia, which complete the top ten. All three are playing with odds above 20, with Norway‘s odds turning red after the Gåte‘s selection, while Ireland‘s turned green following the choice of Bambie Thug. Croatia‘s entry – most possibly – by Baby Lasagna and the artist’s popularity have brought Croatia into the top ten for the first time this season.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k_8cNbF8FLI

Can Alyona Alyona & Jerry Heil make history in Malmo and give Ukraine its fourth victory in twenty years of Eurovision participation? Share your thoughts in the comments! Eurovisionfun will continue to provide updates and analyses as the Eurovision journey unfolds. Stay tuned for more exciting developments in the world of Eurovision 2024!

 

Lithuania: The results of Heat 4 of “Eurovizija.LT 2024”!

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After three heats, Lithuania continues dynamically the search for its representative and entry, that will fly the Lithuanian flag for the 68th Eurovision Song Contest in Malmö. Lithuania comes back to the contest with a new national final format called “Eurovizija.LT”. The national final consists of six shows – five heats and a grand final –. Few minutes ago, the third heat was completed, with two new contestants being advanced to the Grand Final of the show.

The presenters of the show are Gabrielė Martirosian and Nombeko Augustė Khotseng. At the Green Room, the presenter is Nerijus Trilikauskas.

The hosts of Eurovizija.LT 2024: Gabrielė Martirosian (left) and Nombeko Augustė Khotseng (right)

For the record, two artists from Heat 4 were advance to the final, following the vote from the  public audience and a specially formed jury.

This Heat’s members of the jury were:

  • Giedrė Kilčiauskienė (Artist)
  • Ieva Narkutė (Artist)
  • Vytautas Bikus (composer and music producer)
  • Ramūnas Zilnys (music editor of LRT)
  • Darius Užkuraitis (musician and TV presenter of LRT)

The Judges for the fourth heat of Eurovizija.LT 2024

Eight artists competed to this Heat for the two Golden Tickets for the Grand Final of Eurovizija.LT, these were (in the particular running order):

  • Agnė Buškevičiūtė – “Puppeteer”

  • Il Senso – “Time”

  • Kasparas – “Fool”

The Results

With the panel already voting, tonight the Lithuanian audience had the chance to see the live performances for the first time and vote for their favourites. The result was determined 50% by the jury and 50% by the television audience

The Jury Vote of Heat 4

The Public Vote of Heat 4

The Overall Results of Heat 4

The two artists who qualified for the Grand Final are:

  • Il Senso – “Time”

 

Until now, eight (out of ten) artists were qualified for the Grand Final and these are:

 

Stay tuned to EurovisionFun for all the lastest developments regarding Lithuania’s participation to Eurovision 2024!

Eurovision 2024: National finals songs on the Spotify charts!

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There are three semi-finals and four national finals happening tonight, making it the first Super Saturday of 2024. Let’s see whether any of the songs from these finalists made it onto the charts by looking at the Spotify charts of a few countries.

Ukraine

Teresa & Maria, a duet by Alyona Alyona and Jerry Heil, is currently topping the Ukrainian Spotify list and is the betting favourite to win Vidbir 2024. This is a first for Ukraine and likely portends the song’s victory in the national final. YAKTAK and LaLaLa are positioned below, at position 33.

Norway

In Norway, however, things are rather different. According to local Spotify statistics, the odd’s favourite song, “Ulveham”, only peaked at 118th place. Other entries, such KEIINO at number 46 and Erika Norwich’s “My AI” at number 31, were ranked higher. This year’s climate differs from prior years when MGP favourites ranked in the top ten of the chart.

Spain

The Benidorm Fest 2024 final is happening tonight. St Pedro, the frontrunner according to the bookies, is no longer in the charts, whereas Nebulossa with Zorra is in 93rd place. Marlena, who did not qualify for the grand final, is ranked 182nd.

Lithuania

Lithuania’s Eurovision 2020 and 2021 representatives, the Roop, are ranked 31st. Shower, with “Impossible” from the third semi-final, is at number 29, while Silvester Belt, the winner of the first semi-final, is still at the top of the list with “Luktelk.”

Let’s take a look at the charts of a few more countries:

France

Impressively, for French standards, Slimane’s “Mon Amour” is currently at 79th place on the French Spotify list, where it has been charting for 54 days in a row.

Estonia

For a record-breaking 57 days in a row, 5MIINUST and Puuluup remain at the top of the charts. As of yet, no other song has attained the same level of success, suggesting that their song (nendest) narkootikumidest ei tea me (kull) midagi is the clear favourite to win. Vox Populi, a contender for the Finnish national final, comes in second. OLLIE is positioned 78th. Wunderbar is in 34th place, and Oblivion, which did not make it to the final, is in 197th.

Luxembourg

After making its debut at number one, Tali’s Fighter is currently at number 33 on the chart.

Finland

Every song participating in the competition is listed on the chart, with the odds-on favourite, Paskana by Sara Siipola, coming in at number nine. Mania is in 25th place, and Vox Populi is in 19th place. Number 81 is Sini Sabotage, number 90 is Cyan Kicks, position 113 is No Rules!, and position 135 is Glow.

This year, there is a lot of interest in Eurovision, with many countries attempting to choose songs that would resonate with their national audiences!

Stay tuned on Eurovisionfun for all the updates on Eurovision 2024!

Lithuania: Tonight the fourth heat of Eurovizija.LT 2024!

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The Eurovizija.LT 2024 continues tonight, through which Lithuania will select its representative for the 68th Eurovision Song Contest to be held in Malmö in May.

A week after last Saturday’s third heat, the process of selecting the Lithuanian representative at Eurovision 2024 continues tonight, with two more artists punching their ticket to the Eurovizija.LT 2024 Grand Final on February 17.

Event Format

Eurovizija.LT 2024 consists of six shows: five heats and the grand final. The outcome for each of the six nights will be determined equally by the television audience and a five-member jury. Two songs from each semi-final will advance to the final, following a vote from the audience and a specially formed jury.

The three entries that receive the highest scores during the final will progress to the “Super-Final,” where the television audience will exclusively decide the ultimate winner and Lithuania’s representative in Malmö.

The five qualifiers will be broadcast on January 13, 20, 27, and February 3 and 10, respectively. It’s worth noting that, as in previous years, the semi-finals will not be broadcast live but will be pre-recorded earlier in the week. Additionally, in the event of a tie, the jury’s vote will prevail. Finally, the grand final will be broadcast live on February 17.

Finalists

From the first three heats, six artists have already secured their place in the Eurovizija.LT 2024  grand final. The six artists are:

Third Heat

The eight artists who will compete in the fourth heat of Eurovizija.LT 2024 will perform in the following order:

  1. Agnė Buškevičiūtė – “Puppeteer”
  2. Il Senso – “Time”
  3. Kasparas – “Fool”
  4. Monika Marija – “Starting Tommorow”
  5. Vilija – “Save me”
  6. Danielė – “Cold Shower”
  7. Martin – “Jigsaw”
  8. Hansanova – “Dragons and Rainbows”

The hosts for this year’s Eurovizija.LT 2024 are Gabrielė Martirosian and Nombeko Augustė Khotseng.

You can watch the fourth heat of Eurovizija.LT 2024 at 20:00 CET on the official website of Lithuania’s public broadcaster by clicking here.

Last year in Liverpool, Monika Linkytė represented Lithuania with the song “Stay,” finishing in 11th place with a total of 127 points. Will Lithuania achieve another strong result in Malmö?

Stay tuned to Eurovisionfun for the latest updates on our favorite contest!

Lithuania: Listen to “Simple Joy” by THE ROOP!

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As we’ve previously informed you, THE ROOP, former Eurovision participants of Lithuania in 2020 and 2021, announced that they are going to once again take part in the Lithuanian national final, for Eurovision 2024.  Read more

Eurovision 2024: The Semi-Final Allocation Draw Results!

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Malmö with a very nice event hosted a few minutes ago the draw for the semi-finals of the 68th Eurovision Song Contest.

The analyzes of the fans and not only, have been on fire for a few minutes now. Since the theories based on the pre-history of the countries in the competition, it is a first insight into how passable the qualification to the final is or not. In other words, it’s time to make our predictions, about who will go through to the final and who are the favorites to say goodbye to Malmö early…

The presenters and the handover ceremony

Presenters of the Eurovision 2024 semi-final draw were Pernilla Månsson Colt and Farah Abadi. It is worth mentioning that Pernilla Månsson Colt was also the presenter of the corresponding draw in 2013, eleven years ago when Malmö hosted the Eurovision Song Contest for the last time. Both of them are part of the SVT staff, being some of the most beloved faces of the Swedish state broadcaster.

During the draw, the ceremony of handing over and accepting the emblem of the contest took place. The mayor of Liverpool, Steven Rotheram, formally handed over the “keys to the event” to the mayor of Malmö, Katrin Stjernfeldt Jammeh.

Draw Procedure

Big 5 and Sweden

With the big winner of last year’s competition, Sweden, directly in the final, along with the Big 5 (UK, France, Italy, Germany, Spain), the first part of the draw determined the semi-final that the direct finalists would vote for.

Will vote in the 1st Semi-Final:

  • Sweden
  • United Kingdom
  • Germany

Will vote in the 2nd Semi-Final:

  • Spain
  • Italy
  • France

In the semi-final that the six aforementioned countries were drawn to broadcast and vote for, the video from their dress rehearsal will also be shown. This was done at Eurovision 2016 for the first time, for reasons of equal exposure of the countries directly in the final and the countries that qualify from the semi-finals. Essentially, viewers see each entry twice during the shows.

Semi-Final Allocation Draw

The allocation draw for the two semi-finals had two parts. In the first part the 31 countries participating in the semi-finals were drawn in which of the two they will compete in. Fifteen countries will compete in the first semi-final and sixteen in the second semi-final.

In the second part, each country learned whether it will appear in the first or second half of the semi-final in which it will compete. The exact order of appearance will be determined by the EBU and the show’s producers at a later date.

1st Semi-final (May 7):

1st Half

  • Ukraine
  • Cyprus
  • Poland
  • Serbia
  • Lithuania
  • Croatia
  • Ireland

2nd Half

  • Slovenia
  • Iceland
  • Finland
  • Portugal
  • Luxembourg
  • Australia
  • Azerbaijan
  • Moldova

2nd Semi-Final (May 9):

1st Half

  • Austria
  • Malta
  • Switzerland
  • Greece
  • Czechia
  • Albania
  • Denmark
  • Armenia

2nd Half

  • Israel
  • Estonia
  • Georgia
  • Netherlands
  • Norway
  • Latvia
  • San Marino
  • Belgium

Malmö will host the 68th Eurovision Song Contest from 7 to 11 May at the Malmö Arena. The motto of this year’s event, as chosen by the organisers, is “United by Music“, retaining the motto first chosen for last year’s contest in Liverpool.

You can see the draw again through the link below:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q_-2hMEq5sk

Stay tuned to Eurovisionfun for all the developments regarding Eurovision 2024!

 

Eurovision 2024: Tonight the Allocation Draw!

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At 19:00 CET and live from Malmö, Sweden, the draw for the Eurovision 2024 semi-finals will take place tonight.

During today’s event, there will also be a handover of the event’s banner from the city of Liverpool to the city of Malmö. For this reason, both the Mayor of Liverpool, Steven Rotheram, and the Mayor of the Swedish city, Katrin Stjernfeldt Jammeh, will be present at today’s draw.

The hosts

The hosts of tonight’s draw for the semi-finals of the 68th Eurovision Song Contest will be Pernilla Månsson Colt and Farah Abadi. It is worth mentioning that Pernilla Månsson Colt was the presenter of the equivalent draw in 2013, eleven years ago when Malmö hosted the Eurovision Song Contest for the last time.

The draw procedure

The first part of the draw will determine which semi-final will be broadcast and voted for by each of the six countries that are directly in the final on 11 May (Sweden, France, Germany, Spain, Italy, and the United Kingdom).

The second part of the draw will determine which semi-final and which half the other 31 participating countries will compete in. As in recent years, the exact order of appearance will be determined by the event producers at a later date.

The 31 countries have been divided into five pots, based on historical voting patterns as calculated by Eurovision’s official voting partner, Digame.

Drawing countries from different pots aims to reduce the likelihood of so-called neighbour voting and increases the suspense in the semi-finals.

Pots

Pot 1
  • 🇦🇱 Albania
  • 🇦🇹 Austria
  • 🇨🇭 Switzerland
  • 🇭🇷 Croatia
  • 🇷🇸 Serbia
  • 🇸🇮 Slovenia
Pot 2
  • 🇦🇺 Australia
  • 🇩🇰 Denmark
  • 🇪🇪 Estonia
  • 🇫🇮 Finland
  • 🇮🇸 Iceland
  • 🇳🇴 Norway
Pot 3
  • 🇦🇲 Armenia
  • 🇦🇿 Azerbaijan
  • 🇬🇪 Georgia
  • 🇮🇱 Israel
  • 🇱🇻 Latvia
  • 🇱🇹 Lithuania
  • 🇺🇦 Ukraine
Pot 4
  • 🇨🇾 Cyprus
  • 🇬🇷 Greece
  • 🇮🇪 Ireland
  • 🇲🇹 Malta
  • 🇵🇹 Portugal
  • 🇸🇲 San Marino
Pot 5
  • 🇧🇪 Belgium
  • 🇨🇿 Czechia
  • 🇱🇺 Luxembourg
  • 🇳🇱 Netherlands
  • 🇲🇩 Moldova
  • 🇵🇱 Poland

https://twitter.com/Eurovision/status/1751972070479565001

So in the evening, we all tune in for the draw of the semi-finals of our favourite contest. You can watch the draw on the official Eurovision channel on YouTube.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q_-2hMEq5sk

Stay tuned to Eurovisionfun for all the developments regarding Eurovision 2024!

Eurovision 2024: The Semi-final allocation pots!

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The Semi-Final Allocation Draw 2024 will take place tomorrow Tuesday 30 January at 19:00 CET live from Malmo, alongside a ceremony which sees the Host City insignia pass from previous hosts Liverpool to Malmo.

https://youtu.be/Q_-2hMEq5sk

The draw will be hosted by Pernilla Månsson Colt and Farah Abadi and fans will be able to watch on the official Eurovision YouTube channel.

The Allocation Draw will determine whether countries participate in the First Semi-Final (Tuesday 7 May at 21:00 CEST) or the Second Semi-Final (Thursday 9 May at 21:00 CEST). Also randomly allocated is whether a country will perform in the first or second half of the Semi-Final they’ve drawn.

Semi-Final Allocation Draw: How does it work?

Sweden as the Host Country and reigning champion respectively, along with the other 6 members of the so-called ‘Big 6’ participating countries (France, Germany, Italy, Spain and United Kingdom) do not compete in the Semi-Finals, but their domestic audiences do get to vote in one of them… so before the competing countries are allocated a place in a Semi-Final, it will be randomly determined which of the Semi-Finals the Big 6 will each be allowed to vote on.

The next part of the draw will determine in which Semi-Final and in which half of the respective Semi-Final the other 31 participating countries will perform in.

Semi-Final Allocation Pots 2024

Pot 1

Pot 2

Pot 3
  • Albania
  • Austria
  • Switzerland
  • Croatia
  • Serbia
  • Slovenia
  • Denmark
  • Australia
  • Finland
  • Iceland
  • Norway
  • Estonia
  • Armenia
  • Azerbaijan
  • Georgia
  • Israel
  • Latvia
  • Lithuania
  • Ukraine

Pot 4

Pot 5

Pot 6
  • Cyprus
  • Greece
  • Ireland
  • Malta
  • Portugal
  • San Marino
  • Belgium
  • Czech Republic
  • Netherlands
  • Moldova
  • Poland
  • Luxembourg
  • France
  • Italy
  • Germany
  • Spain
  • United Kingdom
  • Sweden

 

Drawing countries from different pots helps to reduce the chance of so-called neighbourly voting and increases suspense in the Semi-Finals. You can get a good idea of how it will all work by watching the 2022 Allocation Draw on the official Eurovision YouTube channel.

The Eurovision Song Contest is due to take place on 7, 9 and 11 May 2024 in Malmo, Sweden, who won the Contest thanks to Loreen winning in 2023.

Stay tuned at Eurovisionfun for all the updates!

Source: Eurovision.tv

Lithuania: The results of Heat 3 of “Eurovizija.LT 2024”!

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After two heats, Lithuania continues the search for its representative and entry, that will fly the Lithuanian flag for the 68th Eurovision Song Contest in Malmö. Lithuania comes back to the contest with a new national final format called “Eurovizija.LT”. The national final consists of six shows – five heats and a grand final –. Few minutes ago, the third heat was completed, with two new contestants being advanced to the Grand Final of the show.

The presenters of the show are Gabrielė Martirosian and Nombeko Augustė Khotseng. At the Green Room, the presenter is Nerijus Trilikauskas.

The hosts of Eurovizija.LT 

For the record, two artists from Heat 3 were advance to the final, following the vote from the  public audience and a specially formed jury.

This Heat’s members of the jury were:

  • Ieva Narkutė (artist)
  • Gerūta Griniūtė (TV presenter LRT)
  • Kristupas Naraškevičius (TV presenter of LRT)
  • Vytautas Bikus (composer and music producer)
  • Jievaras Jasinskis (composer and musician)

The Judges for the third heat of Eurovizija.LT 2024

Eight artists competed to this Heat for the two Golden Tickets for the Grand Final of Eurovizija.LT, these were:

  • Anžela Adamovič-Gečienė – “Paskubėk”

  • MeidĖ – “Zoo”

  • Sun Francisco – “Trauka”

  • Mary Mo – “Done”

The Results

With the panel already voting, tonight the Lithuanian audience had the chance to see the live performances for the first time and vote for their favourites. The result was determined 50% by the jury and 50% by the television audience

 

The two artists who qualified for the Grand Final are:

Jury Vote of Heat 3

Public vote of Heat 3

Overall Results of Heat 3

Until now, six (out of ten) artists were qualified for the Grand Final and these are:

 

Stay tuned to EurovisionFun for all the lastest developments regarding Lithuania’s participation to Eurovision 2024!

Lithuania: Tonight the third heat of Eurovizija.LT 2024!

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The Eurovizija.LT 2024 continues tonight, through which Lithuania will select its representative for the 68th Eurovision Song Contest to be held in Malmö in May.

A week after last Saturday’s second heat, the process of selecting the Lithuanian representative at Eurovision 2024 continues tonight, with two more artists punching their ticket to the Eurovizija.LT 2024 Grand Final on February 17.

Event Format

Eurovizija.LT 2024 consists of six shows: five heats and the grand final. The outcome for each of the six nights will be determined equally by the television audience and a five-member jury. Two songs from each semi-final will advance to the final, following a vote from the audience and a specially formed jury.

The three entries that receive the highest scores during the final will progress to the “Super-Final,” where the television audience will exclusively decide the ultimate winner and Lithuania’s representative in Malmö.

The five qualifiers will be broadcast on January 13, 20, 27, and February 3 and 10, respectively. It’s worth noting that, as in previous years, the semi-finals will not be broadcast live but will be pre-recorded earlier in the week. Additionally, in the event of a tie, the jury’s vote will prevail. Finally, the grand final will be broadcast live on February 17.

Finalists

From the first two heats, four artists have already secured their place in the Eurovizija.LT 2024  grand final. The two artists are:

Third Heat

The eight artists who will compete in the third heat of Eurovizija.LT 2024 will perform in the following order:

  1. Anžela Adamovič-Gečienė – “Paskubėk”
  2. Sid Hallow – “Here We Go Again” 
  3. MeidĖ – “Zoo”
  4. Pluie de Comètes – “Be careful”
  5. Sun Francisco – “Trauka”
  6. Mary Mo – “Done”
  7. Baltos varnos – “In the Night”
  8. Shower – “Impossible”

The hosts for this year’s Eurovizija.LT 2024 are Gabrielė Martirosian and Nombeko Augustė Khotseng.

You can watch the third heat of Eurovizija.LT 2024 at 20:00 CET on the official website of Lithuania’s public broadcaster by clicking here.

Last year in Liverpool, Monika Linkytė represented Lithuania with the song “Stay,” finishing in 11th place with a total of 127 points. Will Lithuania achieve another strong result in Malmö?

Stay tuned to Eurovisionfun for the latest updates on our favorite competition!