A few days after the first pre-party of this year’s Eurovision season, one of Eurovisionfun ‘s most loved and talked about columns is back, with betting analysis for Eurovision 2024 back again.
As you prepare for the pivotal next few days with the continuation of the pre-parties, the bookers have already got down to business, with the Eurovision 2024 winner section already being offered to all bookmakers. So, we’re taking the opportunity to bring you the so far for the next competition.
Battle for five
It’s “chaotic” in the top five of the betting tables ahead of Eurovision 2024, less than a month before the start of the rehearsals. Switzerland, Croatia, Italy, Ukraine and the Netherlands have stood out in comparison to the other participants of the 68th Eurovision Song Contest, which leads us to an unprecedented situation in the betting chronicles of our favourite competition.
Just two days after Nemo ‘s appearance at the Madrid party, Switzerland has turned the betting tables upside down, now in first place. Already since the previous time, “The Code” was gaining ground day by day, until the Swiss representative’s maiden live performance the day before yesterday came to turn the previous data upside down. Switzerland’ s victory is now being bet at odds between 3.5 and 4.5.
Just over a month has passed since Croatia stayed at the top, with the Croats now dropping to second place, a stone’s throw away from the now leading Switzerland. Baby Lasagna ‘s win is currently being bet at odds of between 3.5 and 4.6, slightly higher than last week’s odds.
Switzerland’ s rise to the top has resulted in Italy, in addition to Croatia, losing a place. Thus, Angelina Mango with “La Noia” is considered by the bookers as the third favourite to win in Malmö. However, Italy ‘s odds of winning have dropped compared to our last analysis a couple of weeks ago, with the possibility of a second Italian victory in the current decade considered highly likely. Between 4.5 and 6 are the odds offered on an Italian win for those who believe in Angelina Mango‘s potential.
Ukraine is now in fourth place, but clearly on a downward trend. With the gap between the three leading countries widening, bookers are offering Alyona Alyona & Jerry Heil ‘s victory at the highest odds we have seen offered during this year’s Eurovision season. Ukraine ‘s fourth win in the Eurovision Song Contest is currently being bet at odds between 5.5 and 8.
Finally, the top five is completed by the Netherlands. If we’re talking about winners of the last few weeks, surely the Eurovision 2021 host could not be absent from the discussion, with Joost Klein ‘s ‘Europapa‘ having made a big impression and sweeping the charts and streams across much of the Old Continent, being one of the dark horses of this year’s contest. Between 6.5 and 8 is the Dutch win in Malmö, well below our last analysis and with the Netherlands very likely to move up to fourth place in the next few hours.
Top 10, Greece and Cyprus
With the countries in the Top 5 having stood out in comparison to those below them in the betting tables, let’s take a look at the rest of the top ten. In sixth place is Belgium. Belgium ‘s win is being bet at odds between 11 and 15, being on par compared to our last analysis, with bookies giving Mustii and ‘Before the Party’s Over‘ respectable odds for a positive result in Malmo.
France have quietly moved up to seventh place, and have consistently remained in or on the fringes of the top ten for most of this Eurovision season. Up to 23 times the stakes are returned by “Mon Amour” and Slimane, with France gaining two places in the last few days.
One place has been lost by Greece, which is now eighth. The “tailwind” after the release of Marina Satti ‘s “ZARI” brought the country within the Top 10, with Greece now stabilizing within it and not threatened to be lower in the near future.
Marina Satti ‘s win is currently being played at odds between 17 and 26, slightly higher compared to our last analysis, with bookers, however, giving a vote of confidence to the Greek entry.
Up one place for hosts Sweden, who are now ninth. Sweden ‘s home win over Marcus & Martinus is offered at odds of between 26 and 41, which are the highest bookers have offered this year on the possibility of a historic eighth home win for this year’s hosts.
Rounding out the top ten is Austria, who also gained a place after the Madrid party as Kaleen and “We Will Rave” left a positive impression. Up to 51 times the stake returns the possibility of an Austrian victory in Malmö.
In any case, with the pre-parties continuing in the coming weeks and with the start of rehearsals for the 68th Eurovision Song Contest less than a month away, the only thing that is certain is that the shake-up will continue and will culminate as the days for the big celebration in Malmö approach. The competition is fierce and with no one favourite standing out, all bets are off.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kiGDvM14Kwg
Will Switzerland achieve its third Eurovision Song Contest win with Nemo’s “The Code”? Tell us in the comments!
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