Eurovision 2022: What does the running order for the First Semi-Final reveal? (Statistics)

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We are only a few days away from this year’s Eurovision Song Contest which will take place in Turin. Soon the rehearsals of this year’s 40 entries will begin, giving us a taste of what we will see on stage during the three big nights of Eurovision, but also clarifying the fate of possible favourites.

In the following article, we will analyse which countries have the best chance of making it to the Grand Final, depending on the position in which they were placed to compete and specifically the history of each country, since the system of semi-finals in 2008, that competed in that position. Finally, we will also look at how the countries that competed in those positions ranked in the semi-finals.

Seventeen countries will compete on Tuesday 10 May for the first ten tickets to the Grand Final on 14 May.

1. Albania

Albania will kick off the first semi-final with Ronela Hajati and the song “Sekret”.

Position number one for the First Semifinal is statistically one of the worst places to compete. Specifically, since 2008 only five of the 13 countries that appeared in this position have made it to the Final in 2010(10th), 2014(4th), 2017(3rd), 2019(9th) and 2021(4th).

2. Latvia

The ominous 2nd place will be taken by Citi Zēni and “Eat Your Salad”.

Only five of the 13 countries that appeared in second place in this semi-final have fared well in 2008(5th), 2010(7th), 2012(8th), 2013(10th), and 2015 (7th).

3. Lithuania

Third place in this semi-final is statistically as bad as the two above. Only five of the 13 countries have qualified performing third in 2012(4th), 2015(2nd), 2017(6th), 2018(8th) and 2021(3rd).

The country is represented by Monika Liu with the song “Sentimentai”.

4. Switzerland

In 4th place appears Marius Bear with “Boys Do Cry”.

Based on statistics, Switzerland has the worst position in this Semi-Final, as only three countries that have appeared in 4th place in the First Semi-Final have gotten a ticket to the Final, in 2014 (2nd), 2016 (4th) and 2021 (7th).

5. Slovenia

Slovenia is represented by LPS with the song “Disko”.

Based on the statistics, 62% of the countries that appeared in fifth place managed to qualify – in 2009 (4th), 2012 (2nd), 2013 (1st), 2014 (8th), 2016 (10th), 2017 (4th), 2018 (3rd), 2019 (6th). Hence, it’s a good spot.

6. Ukraine

Representatives of Ukraine are the Kalush Orchestra with the song “Stefania”.

The sixth place is as favourable as the fifth. That is, in other words, eight of the 13 countries that participated in the sixth place made it to the Final.

Specifically, in the years 2009 (5th), 2011 (8th), 2012 (3rd), 2013 (2nd),2015 (6th), 2016 (5th), 2018 (9th), 2019 (2nd).

7. Bulgaria

Judging by the qualification statistics, it is as favoured as the previous two, as only five countries that appeared in seventh place did not get a ticket to the Final in 2009, 2012, 2017, 2019 and 2021.

That is to say, eight of the 13 countries that appeared in eighth place made it to the Final. Specifically, 2008 (6th), 2010 (1st), 2011 (9th), 2013 (3rd), 2014 (6th), 2015 (3rd), 2016 (2nd), and 2018 (1st).

Bulgaria is represented by Intelligent Music Project with “Intention”.

8. The Netherlands

S10 represents the Netherlands with the song “De diepte”.

If we rely on the statistics, only in the years 2010 (8th), 2011 (10th), 2013 (6th), 2014 (9th), 2017 (8th), 2019 (10th) and 2021 (6th) someone who appeared in this position managed to qualify.

9. Moldova

Zdob și Zdub and Frații Advahov will be on the Eurovision stage for the third time. The song is called “Trenulețul”.

The ninth place is exceptionally favourable, as only three countries that appeared in this position failed to get a ticket to the final (2010, 2012, 2013).

In other words, ten of the 13 that appeared 9th made it to the Final, 2008 (4th), 2009 (2nd), 2011 (6th), 2014 (5th), 2015 (9th), 2016 (1st), 2017 (1st), 2018 (5th), 2019 (7th) and 2021 (10th).

10. Portugal

The representative of Portugal is Maro with “Saudade, saudade”.

The tenth place is quite favourable, as only four countries have been eliminated, in 2012, 2014, 2019 and 2021.

The placings of the countries that competed in this position in the semi-final were 2008 (10th – got the wildcard of the juries), 2009 (7th), 2010 (1st), 2011 (3rd), 2013 (9th), 2015 (8th), 2016 (9th), 2017 (10th) and 2018 (7th).

11. Croatia

Mia Dimšić with “Guilty Pleasure”” represents Croatia.

Statistically the 11th place is one of the worst in the First Semi-Final. Only four of the 13 countries that appeared in 11th place made it to the Final, namely in 2013 (7th), 2016 (8th), 2017 (9th) and 2021 (9th).

12. Denmark

The Danish representatives are Reddi with “The Show”.

The statistics are on their side. Only three times when someone appeared twelfth did they fail to qualify for the Final, in 2008, 2011 and 2018.

While those who appeared 12th in this Semifinal got the following positions: 2009 (1st), 2010 (6th), 2012 (7th), 2013 (4th), 2014 (10th), 2015 (1st), 2016 (7th), 2017 (2nd), 2019 (1st) and 2021 (5th).

13. Austria

Lumix ft. Pia Maria with “Halo” are the representatives of Austria.

The qualification from 13th place is quite modest, as only six entries have made it to the Final from this position in 2008 (9th), 2010 (2nd), 2012 (13th), 2013 (8th), 2018 (4th) and 2019 (3rd).

14. Iceland

The country’s representatives are Systur with “Með hækkandi sól”.

Looking at the qualification statistics from the fourteenth place, it is heavily favoured, as only three countries that appeared in that position were eliminated from the final in the years 2013, 2017 and 2018.

The placements of countries that competed in this position in the Semi-Final were; 2008 (2nd), 2009 (9th), 2010 (4th), 2011 (4th), 2012 (1st), 2014 (1st), 2015 (10th), 2016 (6th), 2019 (4th) and 2021 (8th).

15. Greece

Greece is represented by Amanda Georgiadi Tenfjord with “Die Together”.

The fifteenth place is very good, only four entries from 2008 were eliminated by performing at this position in 2008, 2010, 2016 and 2019.

The placements of the countries that competed in this position in the Semi-Final were; 2009 (12th, had won the wildcard of the committees), 2011 (7th), 2012 (10th), 2013 (5th), 2014 (7th), 2015 (5th), 2017 (5th), 2018 (10th) and 2021 (2nd).

16. Norway

Subwoolfer with “Give That Wolf a Banana” are the representatives of Norway.

Only five times someone who appeared in sixteenth place did not qualify for the Final (2011, 2012, 2013, 2013, 2016, 2018) while they managed to qualify eight times.

The places taken on those eight times were; 2008 (8th), 2009 (8th), 2010 (9th), 2014 (3rd), 2015 (4th), 2017 (7th), 2019 (5th) and 2021 (1st).

17. Armenia

The First Semi-Final will be completed by Armenia, with Rosa Linn and the song “Snap”.

The 17th place is one of the best in this semi-final.

This position counts six qualifiers and three eliminations (2016, 2017 and 2018).

The placements of the countries that competed in this position in the Semi-Final were; 2008 (7th), 2009 (6th), 2010 (3rd), 2011 (5th), 2012  (5th) and 2019 (8th).

*Please note that most of the times whoever appears last is usually seen in the Final but in this case we judged the 17th place which this year happens to be the last place in the Semi-Final.

Conclusion

If we had to divide the countries into three groups ( advantaged, 50-50, not advantaged), we would statistically have:

Advantaged:

  1. Denmark 10/13
  2. Iceland 10/13
  3. Moldova 10/13
  4. Armenia 6/9
  5. Greece 9/13
  6. Portugal 9/13
  7. Bulgaria 8/13
  8. Norway 8/13
  9. Slovenia 8/13
  10. Ukraine 8/13

50-50:

  1. The Netherlands 7/13
  2. Austria 6/13

Not advantaged:

  1. Albania 5/13
  2. Latvia 5/13
  3. Lithuania 5/13
  4. Croatia 4/13
  5. Switzerland 3/13

Below is a video prepared by one of our editors featuring the ranking of the countries of the First Semi-Final based on the average number of placings received by each entry, separately for each order of appearance:

This concludes the first part of the analysis. The analysis of the second semi-final of Eurovision 2022 will follow, stay tuned.

Don’t forget to Vote in our poll! For the First Semi-final you vote HERE and for the Second Semi-final you vote HERE.

Eurovision 2022: The running order of the semifinals has been revealed!

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With a month and a half left for the first semifinal of Eurovision 2022 on May 10, the EBU today announced the order of appearance of the songs in the semifinals.

The running order was determined by the EBU in collaboration with the Italian organizers, taking into account where each country was drawn to appear (first or second half), but also in such a way that the show is more interesting.

So, through the official Eurovision channel on YouTube, the official running order of the songs in the semifinals of this year’s contest was announced a few minutes ago.

Running Order

First Semifinal – May 10

  1. Albania
  2. Latvia
  3. Lithuania
  4. Switzerland
  5. Slovenia
  6. Ukraine
  7. Bulgaria
  8. Netherlands
  9. Moldova
  10. Portugal
  11. Croatia
  12. Denmark
  13. Austria
  14. Iceland
  15. Greece
  16. Norway
  17. Armenia

Second Semifinal – May 12

  1. Finland
  2. Israel
  3. Serbia
  4. Azerbaijan
  5. Georgia
  6. Malta
  7. San Marino
  8. Australia
  9. Cyprus
  10. Ireland
  11. North Macedonia
  12. Estonia
  13. Romania
  14. Poland
  15. Montenegro
  16. Belgium
  17. Sweden
  18. Czech Republic

The analyzes of the fans and not only for a few minutes have been on fire, since the theories based on the prehistory of the countries in the contest, are a first picture of how passable is the qualification to the final or not. In other words, it’s time to make our predictions about who will advance to the final and who are the favorites to say goodbye to Turin early…

Turin will host the 66th Eurovision Song Contest from May 10th to 14th at the Pala Alpitour. The motto of this year’s event, as chosen by the organizers is “The Sound of Beauty”.

Stay tuned to EurovisionFun for all the developments related to Eurovision 2022!

Eurovision 2022: The running order of the Semi-Finals will be announced today!

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The moment that many fans are waiting for is finally here. The announcement of the running order of the two semi-finals of Eurovision 2022 will be made today.

The running order is determined by the EBU in cooperation with the Italian organizers, taking into account in which half each country was allocated (first or second), but also to perform in a way that the show will be more interesting.

The running order of the two semi-finals, on May 10 and 12 accordingly, will be announced today, through the official YouTube channel of Eurovision.

The announcement of the second First-Final will be made on 13:45:

The announcement of the second Semi-Final will be made on 13:55:

What will the ideal running order for you? Write us in the comments below!

Stay tuned to Eurovisionfun for all the news related to the 66th Eurovision Song Contest!

Latvia: Polina Gagarina and Natalya Podolskaya banned from entering the country over their support of Russia’s war in Ukraine!

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Latvia’s message is clear: Polina Gagarina and Natalya Podolskaya are not welcome in the country.

On Thursday, Latvia’s Foreign Minister Edgars Rinkēvičs included the two Russian representatives in Eurovision, on a list of 25 Russian entertainers and artists deemed “undesirable people” for “expressing active support for the long-running aggression of the Russian authorities against Ukraine”.

As Latvian public media LSV reports, the list includes 20 people who took part in a highly criticized event in Moscow on 18 March. Artists, including Polina Gagarina, performed at the Luzhniki Stadium to mark the eighth anniversary of Russia’s illegal annexation of Crimea and to support the country’s ongoing war in Ukraine.

President Putin appeared, stating that Russians “have not had such unity for a long time”.

But, as the BBC reports, not everyone in the audience actually wanted to be there. Many told the BBC they worked in the public sector, and that they had been pressured into attending by their employers. Students told that they had been given the option of a day off from lectures if they attended ‘a concert’. Some of the students we spoke to didn’t even know that the event was dedicated, in part, to support the war in Ukraine.

The list of undesirable persons in Latvia includes: Maria Sitela, Dmitry Guberniev, Vladimir Mashkov, Artyom Fence, Tina Candelaki, Viktor Polakov, Polina Gagarina, Nikolai Rastorgujev, Vitaly Loktev, Alexander Jerohin, Sergei Pereguda, Vasily Peguda, Vasily Denis Macujev, Nikita Mikhalkov, Valery Gergiev, Dmitry Streltsov, Alexei Tarasov, Pavel Suchkov, Alexei Kantur, Sergei Polunin, Victoria Ciganova, Stanislav Mikhailov.

Polina’s public support of the war created a negative impression Eurovision fans. Her 2015 entry — the peace anthem “A Million Voices” — is completely at odds with the brutal war Russia started in the name of Putin.

Latvia’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs explained that “those included in the list of undesirable persons for Latvia clearly justify and propagate the unprovoked and unjustifiable Russian invasion and war in Ukraine. Latvia strongly condemns Russia’s unprovoked and unjustifiable war in Ukraine, which has lasted for almost a month and where Ukrainian civilians and soldiers are losing their lives every day as a result of the brutal actions of the Russian armed forces. Entry into Latvia is not allowed.”

Source: wiwibloggs.com

Spain: Watch all the live performances of the artists at the Barcelona Eurovision Party 2022!

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Last night the first Eurovision Party took place successfully at the Sala Apolo in Barcelona. More than 18 eurostars attended the Barcelona Eurovision Party 2022. It was the first Eurovision event on Spanish soil, not forgetting that in a few days the PrePartyES will also take place in Madrid.

The hosts of the event were Sharone and Giuseppe di Bella!

Below you can watch their performances:

What do you think of the Eurovision Party in Barcelona?
Which performance is your favourite? Feel free to tell us in the comments below!
Stay tuned to Eurovisionfun for all the latest news regarding Eurovision 2022!

Don’t forget to Vote in our poll! For the First Semi-final you vote HERE and for the Second Semi-final you vote HERE.

 

Latvia: Full results of Supernova 2022!!

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The public national broadcaster of Latvia, LTV, revealed today the full results of Supernova 2022 final.

206,491 were cast by the public, of which more than 50,000 were for the winning entry “Eat Your Salad” by Citi Zēni, while the entry that finished last received 2,100 votes.

The full results are as follows:

  1. Citi Zēni – “Eat Your Salad” – 50,566 votes (1st public) , 1st jury – 12+12 – 24 points
  2. Aminata – “I’m Letting You Go” – 30,983 votes (3rd public), 2nd jury – 8+10 – 18 points
  3. BUJĀNS – “He, She, You & Me” – 38,924 votes (2nd public), 8th jury – 10+3 – 13 points
  4. Miks Galvanovskis – “I’m Just a Sinner” – 16,060 votes (6th public), 4th jury – 5+7 – 12 points
  5. Elīna Gluzunova – “Es pabiju tur” (I was there) – 3,572 votes (8th public), 3rd jury – 3+8 – 11 points
  6. Mēs Jūs Mīlam – “Rich Itch” – 26,692 votes (4th public), 10th jury – 7+1 – 8 points
  7. Bermudu Divstūris – “Bad” – 24,216 votes (5th public), 9th jury – 6+2 – 8 points
  8. Inspo – “A Happy Place” – 6,432 votes (7th public), 7th jury – 4+4 – 8 points
  9. RAUM – “Plans” – 3,486 votes (9th public), 6th jury – 2+5 – 7 points
  10. Linda Rušeniece – “Pay My Own Bills” – 3,394 votes (10th public), 5th jury – 1+6 – 7 points
  11. Miks Dukurs – “First Love” – 2,116 votes (11th public), 11th jury – 0+0 – 0 points

Latvia is therefore represented by Citi Zēni with the consent of the audience and the jury with “Eat Your Salad”, with the band already going viral as in the lyrics of the song there is the phrase “Instead of meat I eat veggies and pussy”. However, due to EBU regulations, there has been a brief pause in the live interpretation of the song where the word pussy is mentioned.

https://youtu.be/_nQMRuVwzhY

Do you think that Citi Zēni will manage to bring the baltic nation back to the final after 4 consecutive eliminations in the semi-finals? Let us know in the comments below!!

Stay tuned on Eurovisionfun.com for all the news related to the Latvian participation in the upcoming 2022 Eurovision Song Contest in Turin Italy.

Source: Eurovoix 

Latvia: Citi Zēni is representing the country in Eurovision 2022!

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The grand final of Supernova 2022, the national final of Latvia, has just been completed, with the country choosing Citi Zēni as the final’s winners and therefore their representatives for Eurovision 2022 in Turin. This is the first time the country organized a national final after a one-year break were Latvia picked internally Samanta Tīna to represent the country in 2021 after winning the in 2020.

A total of eleven finalists, that were picked among 130 submitted songs, competed in the national final, claiming the ticket to Turin.

The eleven artists

The eleven candidates of the night were:

  1. Raum – “Plans“
  2. Linda Rušeniece – “Pay My Own Bills“
  3. Bermudu Divstūris – “Bad“
  4. Miks Galvanovskis – “I’m Just a Sinner“
  5. Bujāns – “He, She, You & Me“
  6. Elīna Gluzunova – “Es pabiju tur“
  7. Citi Zēni – “Eat Your Salad“
  8. Inspo – “A Happy Place“
  9. Mēs Jūs Mīlam – “Rich Itch“
  10. Aminata – “I’m Letting You Go“
  11. Miks Dukurs –“First Love“

Regarding Miks Dukurs, he has qualified as a wildcard and will compete in the final, following an evaluation by the organization which found out that the artist’s performance in the semifinal was affected by technical issues

50% of the results in the show comes from the jury, while the other 50% from the audience.

The Results

After the public and the international juries voted the top three of the national final is:

  1. Citi Zēni
  2. Aminata
  3. Bujāns

The big winner of Supernova 2022 were Citi Zēni with the song “Eat your salad“.

You can watch Citi Zēni’s performance in the national final here:

Do you agree with Latvia’s choice of representative for Turin? Tell us in the comments!

Latvia: Supernova 2022 final tonight!

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The time has come for Latvia to choose its participant in Eurovision 2022. The Grand Final of Supernova 2022, the process of nominating the representative of the Baltic country in the 66th Eurovision Song Contest, is taking place today.

The participants

Eleven songs will compete in tonight’s Supernova Final, with the big winner of tonight’s show representing Latvia in Turin.

The final result will be judged by 50% by the preference of Latvian viewers and by 50% by the preference of the jury composed of Latvian and non-Latvian professionals of the music industry.

The participants of tonight’s Grand Final are:

  1. Raum – “Plans“
  2. Linda Rušeniece – “Pay My Own Bills“
  3. Bermudu Divstūris – “Bad“
  4. Miks Galvanovskis – “I’m Just a Sinner“
  5. Bujāns – “He, She, You & Me“
  6. Elīna Gluzunova – “Es pabiju tur“
  7. Citi Zēni – “Eat Your Salad“
  8. Inspo – “A Happy Place“
  9. Mēs Jūs Mīlam – “Rich Itch“
  10. Aminata – “I’m Letting You Go“
  11. Miks Dukurs –“First Love“

The Roop and Uku Suviste will appear in the Supernova 2022 final. The selection of Lithuania’s and Estonia’s last year representatives at Eurovision 2021 as guests is made semiotically, as today all the Baltic countries choose their representatives at Eurovision 2022.

Presenters of Supenova 2022 will be Katie Schönberg and Lauris Reiniks.

The final of Supernova 2022 starts at 20:05 CET and will last two hours. You can watch it through on LTV1, by clicking HERE.

Stay tuned to Eurovisionfun for all news regarding Latvia’s participation in Eurovision 2022!

Latvia: Miks Dukurs has earned a spot in the final of Supernova 2022!

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Latvian broadcaster LTV has announced that Miks Dukurs has qualified as a wildcard and will compete in the Supernova 2022 final, following an evaluation by the organization which found out that the artist’s performance in the semifinal was affected by technical issues.

Members of the Supernova and LTV jury evaluated the recording of Miks’s appearance and found that the technical fault in question had a significant effect on the sound quality.

Miks Dukurs became the eleventh finalist in Superonova 2022 and will be competing with the other ten artists for the ticket to Eurovision 2022:

  1. Raum – “Plans“
  2. Linda Rušeniece – “Pay My Own Bills“
  3. Bermudu Divstūris – “Bad“
  4. Miks Galvanovskis – “I’m Just a Sinner“
  5. Bujāns – “He, She, You & Me“
  6. Elīna Gluzunova – “Es pabiju tur“
  7. Citi Zēni – “Eat Your Salad“
  8. Inspo – “A Happy Place“
  9. Mēs Jūs Mīlam – “Rich Itch“
  10. Aminata – “I’m Letting You Go“
  11. Miks Dukurs –“First Love“

LTV also announced that The Roop and Uku Suviste will perform in the final of the latvian selection. The selection of both last year’s representatives of Lithuania and Estonia to perform at the Supernova final has been made symbolically, as on Saturday the other two Baltic countries, Lithuania and Estonia, are also choosing their representative in addition to Latvia.

The heads of the Latvian broadcaster have also clarified that the viewers will have the right to vote for the songs of their choice as many times as they want. We remind you that the final result will be determined 50% by the Latvian viewers and 50% by the jury that will be composed of native and non-native professionals of the music industry.

The grand final of Supernova 2022 will be held on Saturday at 20:05 CET and will last two hours. You can watch it through the frequency of LTV1, by clicking HERE.

Stay tuned to Eurovisionfun for all news regarding the Latvian participation in Eurovision 2022!

Latvia: The running order of the Supernova 2022 final has been revealed!

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Three days after the semifinals of Supernova 2022 took place, LTV revealded the running order of the upcoming Latvian national final to be held on Saturday.

Ten songs qualified for the grand final of Supernova 2022 last Saturday and one of them will represent the Baltic country at Eurovision 2022. These songs, as they will appear in order of appearance, are:

  1. Raum – “Plans“
  2. Linda Rušeniece – “Pay My Own Bills“
  3. Bermudu Divstūris – “Bad“
  4. Miks Galvanovskis – “I’m Just a Sinner“
  5. Bujāns – “He, She, You & Me“
  6. Elīna Gluzunova – “Es pabiju tur“
  7. Citi Zēni – “Eat Your Salad“
  8. Inspo – “A Happy Place“
  9. Mēs Jūs Mīlam – “Rich Itch“
  10. Aminata – “I’m Letting You Go“

LTV also announced that The Roop and Uku Suviste will appear in the Supernova 2022 final. The selection of Lithuania’s and Estonia’s last year representatives at Eurovision 2021 as guests is made semiotically, as on Saturday all the Baltic countries choose their representatives at Eurovision 2022.

At the same time, as the heads of the Latvian radio and television characteristically clarified, the viewers will have the right to vote as many times as they want the songs of their choice. We remind you that the final result will be judged by 50% by the preference of the Latvian viewers and by 50% by the preference of the jury that will be composed of native and non-native professionals of the music industry.

The grand final of Supernova 2022 will be held on Saturday at 21:05 and will last two hours. You can watch it through the frequency of LTV1, by clicking HERE.

Source: ESCBubble