Eurovision 2022: What does the running order for the First Semi-Final reveal? (Statistics)

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We are only a few days away from this year’s Eurovision Song Contest which will take place in Turin. Soon the rehearsals of this year’s 40 entries will begin, giving us a taste of what we will see on stage during the three big nights of Eurovision, but also clarifying the fate of possible favourites.

In the following article, we will analyse which countries have the best chance of making it to the Grand Final, depending on the position in which they were placed to compete and specifically the history of each country, since the system of semi-finals in 2008, that competed in that position. Finally, we will also look at how the countries that competed in those positions ranked in the semi-finals.

Seventeen countries will compete on Tuesday 10 May for the first ten tickets to the Grand Final on 14 May.

1. Albania

Albania will kick off the first semi-final with Ronela Hajati and the song “Sekret”.

Position number one for the First Semifinal is statistically one of the worst places to compete. Specifically, since 2008 only five of the 13 countries that appeared in this position have made it to the Final in 2010(10th), 2014(4th), 2017(3rd), 2019(9th) and 2021(4th).

2. Latvia

The ominous 2nd place will be taken by Citi Zēni and “Eat Your Salad”.

Only five of the 13 countries that appeared in second place in this semi-final have fared well in 2008(5th), 2010(7th), 2012(8th), 2013(10th), and 2015 (7th).

3. Lithuania

Third place in this semi-final is statistically as bad as the two above. Only five of the 13 countries have qualified performing third in 2012(4th), 2015(2nd), 2017(6th), 2018(8th) and 2021(3rd).

The country is represented by Monika Liu with the song “Sentimentai”.

4. Switzerland

In 4th place appears Marius Bear with “Boys Do Cry”.

Based on statistics, Switzerland has the worst position in this Semi-Final, as only three countries that have appeared in 4th place in the First Semi-Final have gotten a ticket to the Final, in 2014 (2nd), 2016 (4th) and 2021 (7th).

5. Slovenia

Slovenia is represented by LPS with the song “Disko”.

Based on the statistics, 62% of the countries that appeared in fifth place managed to qualify – in 2009 (4th), 2012 (2nd), 2013 (1st), 2014 (8th), 2016 (10th), 2017 (4th), 2018 (3rd), 2019 (6th). Hence, it’s a good spot.

6. Ukraine

Representatives of Ukraine are the Kalush Orchestra with the song “Stefania”.

The sixth place is as favourable as the fifth. That is, in other words, eight of the 13 countries that participated in the sixth place made it to the Final.

Specifically, in the years 2009 (5th), 2011 (8th), 2012 (3rd), 2013 (2nd),2015 (6th), 2016 (5th), 2018 (9th), 2019 (2nd).

7. Bulgaria

Judging by the qualification statistics, it is as favoured as the previous two, as only five countries that appeared in seventh place did not get a ticket to the Final in 2009, 2012, 2017, 2019 and 2021.

That is to say, eight of the 13 countries that appeared in eighth place made it to the Final. Specifically, 2008 (6th), 2010 (1st), 2011 (9th), 2013 (3rd), 2014 (6th), 2015 (3rd), 2016 (2nd), and 2018 (1st).

Bulgaria is represented by Intelligent Music Project with “Intention”.

8. The Netherlands

S10 represents the Netherlands with the song “De diepte”.

If we rely on the statistics, only in the years 2010 (8th), 2011 (10th), 2013 (6th), 2014 (9th), 2017 (8th), 2019 (10th) and 2021 (6th) someone who appeared in this position managed to qualify.

9. Moldova

Zdob și Zdub and Frații Advahov will be on the Eurovision stage for the third time. The song is called “Trenulețul”.

The ninth place is exceptionally favourable, as only three countries that appeared in this position failed to get a ticket to the final (2010, 2012, 2013).

In other words, ten of the 13 that appeared 9th made it to the Final, 2008 (4th), 2009 (2nd), 2011 (6th), 2014 (5th), 2015 (9th), 2016 (1st), 2017 (1st), 2018 (5th), 2019 (7th) and 2021 (10th).

10. Portugal

The representative of Portugal is Maro with “Saudade, saudade”.

The tenth place is quite favourable, as only four countries have been eliminated, in 2012, 2014, 2019 and 2021.

The placings of the countries that competed in this position in the semi-final were 2008 (10th – got the wildcard of the juries), 2009 (7th), 2010 (1st), 2011 (3rd), 2013 (9th), 2015 (8th), 2016 (9th), 2017 (10th) and 2018 (7th).

11. Croatia

Mia Dimšić with “Guilty Pleasure”” represents Croatia.

Statistically the 11th place is one of the worst in the First Semi-Final. Only four of the 13 countries that appeared in 11th place made it to the Final, namely in 2013 (7th), 2016 (8th), 2017 (9th) and 2021 (9th).

12. Denmark

The Danish representatives are Reddi with “The Show”.

The statistics are on their side. Only three times when someone appeared twelfth did they fail to qualify for the Final, in 2008, 2011 and 2018.

While those who appeared 12th in this Semifinal got the following positions: 2009 (1st), 2010 (6th), 2012 (7th), 2013 (4th), 2014 (10th), 2015 (1st), 2016 (7th), 2017 (2nd), 2019 (1st) and 2021 (5th).

13. Austria

Lumix ft. Pia Maria with “Halo” are the representatives of Austria.

The qualification from 13th place is quite modest, as only six entries have made it to the Final from this position in 2008 (9th), 2010 (2nd), 2012 (13th), 2013 (8th), 2018 (4th) and 2019 (3rd).

14. Iceland

The country’s representatives are Systur with “Með hækkandi sól”.

Looking at the qualification statistics from the fourteenth place, it is heavily favoured, as only three countries that appeared in that position were eliminated from the final in the years 2013, 2017 and 2018.

The placements of countries that competed in this position in the Semi-Final were; 2008 (2nd), 2009 (9th), 2010 (4th), 2011 (4th), 2012 (1st), 2014 (1st), 2015 (10th), 2016 (6th), 2019 (4th) and 2021 (8th).

15. Greece

Greece is represented by Amanda Georgiadi Tenfjord with “Die Together”.

The fifteenth place is very good, only four entries from 2008 were eliminated by performing at this position in 2008, 2010, 2016 and 2019.

The placements of the countries that competed in this position in the Semi-Final were; 2009 (12th, had won the wildcard of the committees), 2011 (7th), 2012 (10th), 2013 (5th), 2014 (7th), 2015 (5th), 2017 (5th), 2018 (10th) and 2021 (2nd).

16. Norway

Subwoolfer with “Give That Wolf a Banana” are the representatives of Norway.

Only five times someone who appeared in sixteenth place did not qualify for the Final (2011, 2012, 2013, 2013, 2016, 2018) while they managed to qualify eight times.

The places taken on those eight times were; 2008 (8th), 2009 (8th), 2010 (9th), 2014 (3rd), 2015 (4th), 2017 (7th), 2019 (5th) and 2021 (1st).

17. Armenia

The First Semi-Final will be completed by Armenia, with Rosa Linn and the song “Snap”.

The 17th place is one of the best in this semi-final.

This position counts six qualifiers and three eliminations (2016, 2017 and 2018).

The placements of the countries that competed in this position in the Semi-Final were; 2008 (7th), 2009 (6th), 2010 (3rd), 2011 (5th), 2012  (5th) and 2019 (8th).

*Please note that most of the times whoever appears last is usually seen in the Final but in this case we judged the 17th place which this year happens to be the last place in the Semi-Final.

Conclusion

If we had to divide the countries into three groups ( advantaged, 50-50, not advantaged), we would statistically have:

Advantaged:

  1. Denmark 10/13
  2. Iceland 10/13
  3. Moldova 10/13
  4. Armenia 6/9
  5. Greece 9/13
  6. Portugal 9/13
  7. Bulgaria 8/13
  8. Norway 8/13
  9. Slovenia 8/13
  10. Ukraine 8/13

50-50:

  1. The Netherlands 7/13
  2. Austria 6/13

Not advantaged:

  1. Albania 5/13
  2. Latvia 5/13
  3. Lithuania 5/13
  4. Croatia 4/13
  5. Switzerland 3/13

Below is a video prepared by one of our editors featuring the ranking of the countries of the First Semi-Final based on the average number of placings received by each entry, separately for each order of appearance:

This concludes the first part of the analysis. The analysis of the second semi-final of Eurovision 2022 will follow, stay tuned.

Don’t forget to Vote in our poll! For the First Semi-final you vote HERE and for the Second Semi-final you vote HERE.

Eurovision 2022: The running order of the semifinals has been revealed!

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With a month and a half left for the first semifinal of Eurovision 2022 on May 10, the EBU today announced the order of appearance of the songs in the semifinals.

The running order was determined by the EBU in collaboration with the Italian organizers, taking into account where each country was drawn to appear (first or second half), but also in such a way that the show is more interesting.

So, through the official Eurovision channel on YouTube, the official running order of the songs in the semifinals of this year’s contest was announced a few minutes ago.

Running Order

First Semifinal – May 10

  1. Albania
  2. Latvia
  3. Lithuania
  4. Switzerland
  5. Slovenia
  6. Ukraine
  7. Bulgaria
  8. Netherlands
  9. Moldova
  10. Portugal
  11. Croatia
  12. Denmark
  13. Austria
  14. Iceland
  15. Greece
  16. Norway
  17. Armenia

Second Semifinal – May 12

  1. Finland
  2. Israel
  3. Serbia
  4. Azerbaijan
  5. Georgia
  6. Malta
  7. San Marino
  8. Australia
  9. Cyprus
  10. Ireland
  11. North Macedonia
  12. Estonia
  13. Romania
  14. Poland
  15. Montenegro
  16. Belgium
  17. Sweden
  18. Czech Republic

The analyzes of the fans and not only for a few minutes have been on fire, since the theories based on the prehistory of the countries in the contest, are a first picture of how passable is the qualification to the final or not. In other words, it’s time to make our predictions about who will advance to the final and who are the favorites to say goodbye to Turin early…

Turin will host the 66th Eurovision Song Contest from May 10th to 14th at the Pala Alpitour. The motto of this year’s event, as chosen by the organizers is “The Sound of Beauty”.

Stay tuned to EurovisionFun for all the developments related to Eurovision 2022!

Eurovision 2022: The running order of the Semi-Finals will be announced today!

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The moment that many fans are waiting for is finally here. The announcement of the running order of the two semi-finals of Eurovision 2022 will be made today.

The running order is determined by the EBU in cooperation with the Italian organizers, taking into account in which half each country was allocated (first or second), but also to perform in a way that the show will be more interesting.

The running order of the two semi-finals, on May 10 and 12 accordingly, will be announced today, through the official YouTube channel of Eurovision.

The announcement of the second First-Final will be made on 13:45:

The announcement of the second Semi-Final will be made on 13:55:

What will the ideal running order for you? Write us in the comments below!

Stay tuned to Eurovisionfun for all the news related to the 66th Eurovision Song Contest!

Eurovision 2022: After Sweden, four more countries take a stance against Russia’s participation in Turin!

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The EBU‘s response about Russia’s participation in Eurovision 2022 did not satisfy Norway, Denmark, Lithuania and the Netherlands which, after Sweden, ask the EBU to reconsider its decision and not allow Russia to participate in the competition.

Following the request of the Ukrainian public television for expulsion of the corresponding Russian from the EBU, the latter in a statement underlined the apolitical nature of the competition and that it has no authority to punish its members (public radio and television), for acts committed by governments of their countries.

The Eurovision Song Contest is a non-political – cultural event that unites countries and celebrates differences through music. EBU members in both Russia and Ukraine have pledged to attend this year’s event in Turin and we intend to welcome them and let artists from both countries participate in May. Of course, we continue to monitor developments closely.

EBU

However, this response did not satisfy Sweden, which, through SVT CEO Hanna Stjärne, asked the EBU to reconsider its decision on Russia. Today, four more broadcasters have been added to the list, those of Lithuania, Denmark, Norway and the Netherlands.

Lithuania‘s general director of public television, Monika Garbaciauskaite, said in a statement today that she would soon raise the issue of Russia’s participation with the EBU. Norwegian public broadcaster has also just released a statement taking a clear stance. In a similar climate, the Danish public television informed the EBU that it is opposed to Russia’s participation in Eurovision 2022 and so did the dutch one AVROTROS a few minutes ago.

However, we have also had statements from the television of Finland, which, although they state that it is the responsibility of the EBU to make any decision regarding Russia’s participation, emphasize that they are closely monitoring the issue and will take a position on it soon.

Eurovision 2022 artists have also started taking a stance against Russia’s participation in Eurovision 2022, as this year’s representatives of Latvia, Citi Zēni, have also personally asked the EBU not to allow the country that started a war in Europe to take part in the competition.

https://twitter.com/citi_zeni/status/1496959252925014017?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1496959252925014017%7Ctwgr%5E%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Feurovisionfun.com%2F2022%2F02%2Feurovision-2022-CEBCCEB5CF84CEAC-CF84CEB7CEBD-CF83CEBFCF85CEB7CEB4CEAFCEB1-CEB4CEB1CEBDCEAFCEB1-CEBACEB1CEB9-CEBBCEB9CEB8CEBFCF85CEB1CEBD%2F

We are awaiting with interest the reactions from the other members of the EBU, but also for the final decision regarding Russia’s participation in Eurovision 2022.

Stay tuned to Eurovisionfun for all developments!

Norway: Subwoolfer identity revealed ?

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Last Saturday night, Subwoolfer won the Melodi Grand Prix final. Therefore, Norway will be represented by a masked and currently unidentified duo of artists in the Eurovision Song Contest 2022 in Turin.

So far, neither the artists themselves, nor NRK, nor the record company, Universal, have revealed when the masks will finally fall and we will find out the identity of the duo.

However, the VG newspaper revealed that two artists who are rumored to be hiding behind the Subwoolfer are filming with Subwoolfer at the H3 Arena in Bærum, where the final took place on Saturday.

According to NRK, the recording is a back-up of the Eurovision performance, in case there are problems due to the pandemic or other prohibitive conditions in Turin.

In the parking lot outside the H3 Arena was a Volkswagen Up! registered with the Norwegian Public Administration in the name of Gaute Ormåsen (38). The artist participated in Idol in 2003, where he finished second.

There is also a Porsche, which is registered to the British Ben Adams (40), who was part of the boyband A1 in the late 90s. Adams has been living in Norway lately.

For the time being, both artists refused to comment.

A1 participated in Melodi Grand Prix 2010 and finished in the second place.

Ormåsen also participated in the Melodi Grand Prix in 2010, as well as in 2013.

https://youtu.be/FJjo8s3fKUM

We remind you that Norway has been drawn to compete in the First Semifinal on May 10. Specifically, they will appear in one of the positions 10-18.

Do you like the representatives of Norway this year?

Norway: Subwoolfer will offer to Europe their bananas!!

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The Grand Final of Melodi Grand Prix 2022 took place tonight at 19:55 CET. After six shows, 10 artists competed for the ticket to the 2022 Eurovision Song Contest in Turin, Italy.

The hosts of the show were Kåre Magnus Bergh, Annika Momrak, Mikkel Niva.

The participants

The 10 finalists of the show were as follows:

  1. Oda Gondrosen – Hammer of Thor
  2. NorthKid – Someone
  3. Anna-Lisa Kumoji – Queen Bees
  4. Farida – Dangerous
  5. Sofie Fjellvang – Made Of Glass
  6. Frode – Black Flowers
  7. Christian Ingebrigtsen – Wonder of the world
  8. Maria Mohn – Fly
  9. Subwoolfer – Give that wolf a banana
  10. Elsie Bay – Death of us

After the performance of the ten songs, the four acts that proceeded to the Gold Final phase were:

  1. Sofie Fjellvang – Made Of Glass
  2. Elsie Bay – Death of us
  3. Subwoolfer – Give that wolf a banana
  4. NorthKid – Someone

From there the two acts that advanced to the Gold Duel were:

  1. NorthKid – Someone
  2. Subwoolfer – Give that wolf a banana

Later on the show the representative of Greece Amanda Tenfjord gave a small interview to one of the hosts of the show.

Afterwards we had the chance to enjoy TIX and his entry in 2021 Eurovision in Rotterdam, Fallen Angel, in English and Norwegian.

After the announcement of the votes from each region of Norway the representatives of Norway in Eurovision Song Contest 2022 are Subwoolfer with the song Give that Woolf a Banana !!

 

Subwoolfer and Norway are going to participate at the second half of the First Semi-Final on 10th of May. Do you think that they can achieve a better result this year? Let us know in the comments below.

Stay tuned on Eurovisionfun.com for all the developments regarding the Norwegian entry at the upcoming 2022 Eurovision Song Contest. 

Norway: Who are the favourites to win according to odds?

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Tonight is Norway’s turn to select their representative for Eurovision 2022 in the Grand Final of the norwegian Melodi Grand Prix 2022 (MGP 2022). 10 finalists are vying for victory, which will lead them to Turin in May. So, with the norwegian final upon us, who are the bookmarkers’ favourites to win?

 

The odds

In a national final with a high level of songs, the Subwoolfer seem to be the biggest contender for the win, according to the odds. In the next places with much difference are Elsie Bay, Sofie Fjellvang and NorthKid.

 

The contestants

The running order of the MGP 2022 final is the following:

  1. Oda Gondrosen – Hammer of Thor
  2. NorthKid – Someone
  3. Anna-Lisa Kumoji – Queen Bees
  4. Farida – Dangerous
  5. Sofie Fjellvang – Made Of Glass
  6. Frode – Black Flowers
  7. Christian Ingebrigtsen – Wonder of the world
  8. Maria Mohn – Fly
  9. Subwoolfer – Give that wolf a banana
  10. Elsie Bay – Death of us

 

As opposed to the semi-finals, the grand final will be conducted with the presence of audience in the arena, while the result will come out based exclusively on televoting, after 3 rounds of voting. Firstly, the 4 songs with the highest score will pass to the second round. Thereafter, the scores of the first voting round will be erased and the public will vote again the 4 remaining songs. This time, the 2 songs with the highest amount of votes will be able to pass to the third voting round, the golden final. Then, the scores of the previous round will be erased once again and the public will choose, among the 2 remaining songs, the representative of Norway for Eurovision 2022.

The hosts of the show are Kåre Magnus Bergh, Annika Momrak και Mikkel Niva.

You can watch the Grand Final of MGP 2022 at 19:55 (CET) through the official website of the Norwegian Broadcasting Corporation (NRK), clicking here.

Stay tuned to Eurovisionfun for all the news related to Norway’s participation in Eurovision 2022!

Greece: Amanda will be a guest in the final of MGP 2022!

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As she revealed with a tweet a few minutes ago, the greek representative at Eurovision 2022, Amanda Georgiadis Tenfjord, will be a guest at MGP 2022, the national final of Norway, which takes place tonight.

Amanda will be the only guest in the Norwegian national final, which goes to show that she and her work are well respected in the country where she grew up and took her first steps as an artist. The greek team of course hopes that this will translate to some points as well in May, like it happened last year with Stefania and the Netherlands.

You can watch the final of MGP 2022 tonight at 19.55 (CET) clicking here.

Stay tuned to EurovisionFun for all news regarding the Greek entry at Eurovision 2022!

Norway: Grand Final of MGP 2022 tonight!

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It was January 15 when the Melodi Grand Prix 2022 started. Just over a month later, the process of selecting Norway’s representative at Eurovision 2022 comes to an end. The grand final of MGP 2022 takes place tonight.

Format

Melodi Grand Prix 2022 consists of six shows: four semifinals, a second chance round and the grand final, from which the representative of the Scandinavian country in the 66th Eurovision Song Contest will emerge. Four artists participated in each semifinal, with the first of them in the ranking advancing to the final.

Those eliminated from the semifinals (three from each) took part in the second chance round. Through the public voting that was based on the performances of the semifinals, the four most popular non-qualifiers competed for the fifth ticket that leads to the grand final of MGP 2022.

After five shows we have reached the night of the grand final, in which a total of ten artists will participate: the four winners of the semifinals, the winner of the second chance round and the five direct finalists.

Final

Ten artists are participating in tonight’s final of MGP 2022. These artists are:

  1. Oda Gondrosen – Hammer of Thor
  2. NorthKid – Someone
  3. Anna-Lisa Kumoji – Queen Bees
  4. Farida – Dangerous
  5. Sofie Fjellvang – Made Of Glass
  6. Frode – Black Flowers
  7. Christian Ingebrigtsen – Wonder of the world
  8. Maria Mohn – Fly
  9. Subwoolfer – Give that wolf a banana
  10. Elsie Bay – Death of us
In contrast to the Semifinals, the grand Final will take place, with the presence of an audience in the arena, while the result will be judged entirely by the television audience, after three rounds of voting. Initially, the four songs with the most votes will pass. Then from scratch the public will vote again. This time the two songs with the most votes will qualify for the gold final. There again the vote will be zero and the public will be asked to choose between these two, the representative of Norway in Eurovision 2022.
Presenters of the evening will be Kåre Magnus Bergh, Annika Momrak and Mikkel Niva.

You can watch the night of the second chance of MGP 2022 at 19:55 CET through the official website of NRK, by clicking HERE.

Stay tuned to Eurovisionfun for all news regarding Norway’s participation in Eurovision 2022!

Norway: Ulrikke would like to return to Melodi Grand Prix in 2023!

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Ulrikke Brandstorp, winner of MGP 2020 and almost representative of Norway in Eurovision had it not been canceled, revealed recently in a livestream on the norwegian website escNorge that she would like to return to Melodi Grand Prix! She herself stated:

2023 could be an important year to return! I have already started writing potential songs for Eurovision 2023!

Ulrikke also mentioned that the song she wants to participate with has to mean something to her and it can’t just be any song. She added that those participating in MGP should not do so just to launch new music or become famous, but to participate with a sincere desire to win and represent Norway in the best possible way in Eurovision.

Finally, Ulrikke gave her predictions for this year’s Melodi Grand Prix 2022. Her favorite songs for this year are:

  1. Oda Gondrosen: «Hammer of Thor»
  2. Northkid: «Someone»
  3. Maria Mohn: «Fly» / Subwoolfer: «Give that wolf a banana»

Ulrikke was supposed to represent the country in Eurovision 2020 with the song “Attention”, had the contest not been canceled due to the Coronavirus outbreak.

You can watch and remember her performance in the final of MGP 2020 below:

Would you like to see Ulrikke wave the Norwegian flag in Eurovision 2023 and have the chance to perform on the Eurovision stage, a chance she sadly lost in 2020?

Stay tuned to Eurovisionfun for all news regarding our favorite contest!

Source: escnorge