Eurovision 2022: What does the running order for the Second Semi-Final reveal? (Statistics)

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We are only a few days away from this year’s Eurovision Song Contest which will take place in Turin. Soon the rehearsals of this year’s 40 entries will begin, giving us a taste of what we will see on stage during the three big nights of Eurovision, but also clarifying the fate of possible favourites.

In our previous article, we analyzed which countries have the best chance of taking part in the final, in accordance with their position in the running order of the First Semi-Final.

Now, we are going to analyze the Second Semi-Final of Eurovision Song Contest 2022.

In the following article, we will analyse which countries have the best chance of making it to the Grand Final, depending on the position in which they were placed to compete and specifically the history of each country, since the system of semi-finals in 2008, that competed in that position. Finally, we will also look at how the countries that competed in those positions ranked in the semi-finals.

Eighteen countries will compete on Thursday, May 12  for the last ten tickets to the Grand Final on May 14.

1. Finland

The second semi-final will start with The Rasmus and the song “Jezebel“. A strong opening for the semi-final.

Performing first in the semi-final, is greatly favorable, while only four countries have not qualified from the first place. (2010, 2013, 2017 and 2019)

That means, nine of the thirteen countries that performed first, qualified for the Final. Specifically, in 2008 (8th), 2009 (13th, it was the wildcard of the juries), 2011 (5th), 2012 (2nd), 2014 (9th), 2015 (7th), 2016 (8th), 2018 (2nd) and 2021 (9th).

2. Israel

In second, ominous, place Michael Ben David will perform his song “I.M.”

However, second place in this semi-final, is almost in the same level with that of the first semi-final.

In this place, seven countries haven’t managed to qualify for the final, while six have qualified, in 2008 (12th it was the wildcard of the juries), 2010 (6th), 2011 (7th), 2012 (9th), 2016 (6th) and 2017 (7th).

3. Serbia

Konstrakta will perform “In Corpore Sano“, in third place.

Third place is one of the worst in this semi-final. Only four countries have qualified, in 2008(7th), 2010(8th), 2014(6th), 2018(9th ).

4. Azerbaijan

Nadir Rustamli with the song “Fade to Black”, will perform fourth.

Statistically, fourth place is a great place, as eight songs from the thirteen, qualified for the final, in 2008(1st), 2010(5th), 2012(7th), 2013(1st), 2015(9th), 2016(7t) 2019(4th) and 2021 (6th).

5. Georgia

Circus Mircus will perform “Lock Me In”, in fifth place.

Statistically speaking, is one of the worst places in the second semi-final. Omly four countries have managed to qualify in 2013(9th), 2014(8th), 2017(6th), 2018(5th).

6. Malta

Emma Muscat is the representative of Malta with the song “I Am What I Am”.

It is statistically one of the best positions, only five countries have not qualified from sixth place, in 210, 2012, 2018, 2019 and 2021.

That is, eight out of 12 countries that performed sixth qualified for the final in 2008(9th), 2009(1st), 2011(6th), 2013(4th), 2014(1st), 2015(4th), 2016(10th), 2017(4th).

7. San Marino

San Marino’s Achille Lauro will perform “Stripper” in seventh place.

Statistically, seventh place is a moderate place, as only seven countries have qualified in 2010(2nd), 2011(10th), 2012(8th), 2017(2nd), 2018(3rd), 2019(10th) and 2021(7th).

8. Australia

Sheldon Riley with “Not the Same” is the representative of Australia.

Based on statistics, it is a great place to perform. Eight countries have qualified in 2010(7th), 2011(1st), 2013(6th), 2014(3rd), 2017(10th), 2018(7th) and 2019(3rd) and 2021(2nd).

9. Cyprus

Cyprus is represented by Andromache and the song “Ela”.

Based on statistics, it is a moderate place, only six countries have qualified from ninth place 2009(8th), 2013(2nd), 2015(3rd), 2016(4th), 2018(4th) and 2021(8th).

10. Ireland

Brooke will perform the song “That’s Rich” for Ireland.

Statistically, it is not that good of a place, only five countries have qualified from ninth place, in 2008(6th), 2010(4th), 2014(5th), 2015(2nd), 2016(1st).

11. North Macedonia

Andrea will represent North Macedonia with the song “Circles”.

Based on statistics, it is a moderate place, only seven countries have qualified from 11th place in 2008(4th), 2012(1st), 2013(7th), 2015(10th), 2017(8th), 2019(8th) and 2021(10th).

12. Estonia

Stefan will sing “Hope” for Estonia.

Based on statistics, it is a moderate place, only seven countries have qualified from 12th place in 2009(2nd), 2010(9th), 2013(8th), 2014(4th), 2016(5th), 2017(5th) and 2021(4th).

13. Romania

WRS with the song “Llámame”, is going to perform in the best possible position in this semi-final.

Based on statistics, it is a great place. Only three countries have not qualified in 201, 2016 and 2017.

Ten countries have qualified to the final in 2008(3rd), 2009(4th), 2011(3rd), 2012(5th), 2013(3rd), 2014(7th), 2015(1st), 2018(10th), 2019(6th) and 2021(3rd).

14. Poland

Ochman is going to sing “River” for Poland.

Statistically, it is greatly favored as 14th place counts inly three non-qualifications in 2013, 2015, 2018.

From this place, ten countries have been in the final in 2008(5th). 2009(9th), 2010(10th), 2011(4th), 2012(4th), 2014(10th), 2016(2nd), 2017(9th), 2019(9th) and 2021(5th)

15. Montenegro

Vladana represents the country with the song “Breathe”

Performing 15th counts five non-qualifications in 2008, 2010, 2012, 2015 and 2021.

From this place, eight countries have been in the final in 2009(9th), 2011(9th), 2013(10th), 2014(2nd), 2015(2nd), 2017(1st), 2018(2nd), 2019(7th).

16. Belgium

Belgium’s representative is Jérémie Makiese with the song “Miss You”.

Based on statistics, performing sixteenth is a great place, as seven countries qualified, in 2009(7th), 2010(3rd), 2012(10th), 2015(5th), 2016(9th), 2019(1st) and 2021(1st),  and five have not.

17. Sweden

Cornelia Jakobs will perform “Hold Me Closer”.

Based on statistics, it is a great place to perform. Five countries have not qualified in 2008, 2011, 2016, 2017 and in 2021, while seven have been in the final

The places that the countries got by performing seventeenth in the semi-final are: 2009(6th), 2010(1st)*, 2012(6th), 2013(5th)*, 2015(8th)*, 2018(8th), 2019(2nd).

*Seventeenth place was the last in those years.

18. Czech Republic

The semi-final will be over with the performance of We Are Domi and the song “Lights Off”.

Statistically it is the best place in the second semi-final. Only North Macedonia have not qualified in 2008, having placed 10th but not getting the wildcard of the juries.

The places that the countries got by performing eighteenth in the semi-final are: 2009(3rd), 2011(2nd), 2012(3rd), 2016(3rd), 2017(3rd), 2018(6th) and 2019 (5th).

Conclusion

If we had to divide the countries in three groups (Favored, 50-50, not favored), statistically, those will be

Favored:

  1. Czech Republic 6/7
  2. Poland 10/13
  3. Romania 10/13
  4. Finland 9/13
  5. Azerbaijan 8/13
  6. Australia 8/13
  7. Malta 8/13
  8. Montenegro 8/13

50-50:

  1. San Marino 7/13
  2. Belgium 7/12
  3. North Macedonia 7/13
  4. Estonia 7/13
  5. Sweden 7/12
  6. Cyprus 6/13
  7. Israel 6/13

Not Favored

  1. Ireland 5/13
  2. Georgia 4/13
  3. Serbia 4/13

Below is a video made by one of our editors featuring the ranking of the countries of the Second Semi-Final based on the average number of placings received by each entry, separately for each order of appearance:

The second part of our analysis is over. Stay tuned on Eurovisionfun for all the news regarding Eurovision Song Contest 2022 in Turin, Italy!

Don’t forget to Vote in our poll! For the First Semi-final you vote HERE and for the Second Semi-final you vote HERE.

Eurovision 2022: The running order of the semifinals has been revealed!

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With a month and a half left for the first semifinal of Eurovision 2022 on May 10, the EBU today announced the order of appearance of the songs in the semifinals.

The running order was determined by the EBU in collaboration with the Italian organizers, taking into account where each country was drawn to appear (first or second half), but also in such a way that the show is more interesting.

So, through the official Eurovision channel on YouTube, the official running order of the songs in the semifinals of this year’s contest was announced a few minutes ago.

Running Order

First Semifinal – May 10

  1. Albania
  2. Latvia
  3. Lithuania
  4. Switzerland
  5. Slovenia
  6. Ukraine
  7. Bulgaria
  8. Netherlands
  9. Moldova
  10. Portugal
  11. Croatia
  12. Denmark
  13. Austria
  14. Iceland
  15. Greece
  16. Norway
  17. Armenia

Second Semifinal – May 12

  1. Finland
  2. Israel
  3. Serbia
  4. Azerbaijan
  5. Georgia
  6. Malta
  7. San Marino
  8. Australia
  9. Cyprus
  10. Ireland
  11. North Macedonia
  12. Estonia
  13. Romania
  14. Poland
  15. Montenegro
  16. Belgium
  17. Sweden
  18. Czech Republic

The analyzes of the fans and not only for a few minutes have been on fire, since the theories based on the prehistory of the countries in the contest, are a first picture of how passable is the qualification to the final or not. In other words, it’s time to make our predictions about who will advance to the final and who are the favorites to say goodbye to Turin early…

Turin will host the 66th Eurovision Song Contest from May 10th to 14th at the Pala Alpitour. The motto of this year’s event, as chosen by the organizers is “The Sound of Beauty”.

Stay tuned to EurovisionFun for all the developments related to Eurovision 2022!

Eurovision 2022: The running order of the Semi-Finals will be announced today!

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The moment that many fans are waiting for is finally here. The announcement of the running order of the two semi-finals of Eurovision 2022 will be made today.

The running order is determined by the EBU in cooperation with the Italian organizers, taking into account in which half each country was allocated (first or second), but also to perform in a way that the show will be more interesting.

The running order of the two semi-finals, on May 10 and 12 accordingly, will be announced today, through the official YouTube channel of Eurovision.

The announcement of the second First-Final will be made on 13:45:

The announcement of the second Semi-Final will be made on 13:55:

What will the ideal running order for you? Write us in the comments below!

Stay tuned to Eurovisionfun for all the news related to the 66th Eurovision Song Contest!

Georgia: Listen to “Lock Me In”, Circus Mircus’ song for Eurovision 2022!

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Georgia will participate in Eurovision 2022 with Circus Mircus and “Lock Me In“. As we reported in a previous article, with the decision of the band members, the audience will hear the song on a black background due to the ongoing invasion in Ukraine.

Listen to “Lock Me In” below:

https://youtu.be/O6UqeUwCldM

Who are Circus Mircus?

Circus Mircus is a Georgian progressive rock band consisting of Armenian drummer Bavonc Gevorcyan, Belgian vocalist and guitarist Igor Von Lichtenstein and Greek bassist and vocalist Damocles Stavriadis. The band plays mainly experimental music, mixing many genres, each of which represents a life experience and the “inner world” of each member. The band was formed in late 2020 in Tbilisi, when three graduates of the local circus academy became friends and left the academy to form their own band. According to one member of the group, the three of them, were probably the worst in the group, so they became friends.

What do you think of Georgia’s participation? Could it bring the first Georgian qualification since 2016? Write us your opinion in the comments!

Georgia: Eurovision 2022 entry will be released on March 10!

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Today, the Georgian broadcaster, GBP, announced that the song Lock Me In, with which Circus Mircus will compete in the 66th Eurovision Song Contest will be released on March 10.

The video clip was scheduled to premiere on March 10 as well, but the plan changed due to the ongoing invasion of Ukraine. According to the decision of the band members, the audience will hear the song on a black background.

Emilia Sandquist, who is part of Sacha Jean Baptiste‘s team, will direct the Circus Mircus show in Turin. Sacha Jean Baptiste was the director of Nika Kocharov & the Young Georgian Lolitaz, Nina Sublatti and Tamara Gachechiladze. Last year, Emilia directed the appearance of Tornike Kipiani in Rotterdam.

Georgia has been drawn to compete in the Second Semifinal on May 12 and will specifically appear in the first half of the night (positions 1-9).

Source: Escxtra

Stay tuned to Eurovisionfun for all the developments regarding Georgia’s participation in Eurovision 2022!

Eurovision 2022: Here are the results of the allocation draw!

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The Semi-Final Allocation Draw for the Eurovision Song Contest 2022 took place in Palazzo Madama in Turin. Find out below in which of the 2 Semi-Finals your country will perform and vote in. The annual event was hosted by Carolina di Domenico and Mario Acampa.

The Semi-Final Allocation Draw and Host City Insignia Exchange are key milestones on the path to the Eurovision Song Contest each year.

During the ceremony, Ahmed Aboutaleb, Mayor of Rotterdam, passed on the Host City Insignia to Stefano Lo Russo, Mayor of Turin. The insignia key chain, weighing over 30 kilograms with the new addition of Rotterdam’s insignia, was handed over to Turin. The Italian city is now officially the Host City of the Eurovision Song Contest 2022.

Draw Procedure

The 36 countries competing in the semifinals were divided into six pots, based on the points they have exchanged in recent years. This is done in order to avoid, as much as possible, the alliances and bloc voting that appear every year in the voting.

Allocation Pots

Big 5

With the host Italy, directly in the final, along with the rest of the Big 5 (UK, France, Germany, Spain), the first part of the draw determined the semifinal that the direct finalists will vote.

Will vote in the 1st Semi-Final:

  • France
  • Italy

Will vote in the 2nd Semi-Final:

  • Spain
  • Germany
  • United Kingdom

Their performance in the dress rehearsal will be shown in the semifinals where the six aforementioned countries were drawn to broadcast and vote. This was done at Eurovision 2016 for the first time, for reasons of equal visibility of the countries that are directly in the final and the countries that compete in the semifinals. Essentially, viewers watch each entry twice during the shows.

Allocation Draw

The draw of the countries for the two semifinals had two parts. In the first part, the 36 countries that participate in the semifinals, were drawn in which of the two will compete. 18 countries will compete in both the first and the second semifinal.

In the second part each country found out if it will appear in the first or in the second half of the semifinal that will compete. The exact order of appearance will be determined by the EBU and the producers of the show at a later time.

First Semi-Final (10 May):

1st Half

  • Albania
  • Switzerland
  • Latvia
  • Slovenia
  • Moldova
  • Bulgaria
  • Ukraine
  • Lithuania
  • Netherlands

2nd Half

  • Norway
  • Russia
  • Portugal
  • Denmark
  • Armenia
  • Austria
  • Croatia
  • Iceland
  • Greece

Second Semi-Final (12 May):

1st Half

  • Australia
  • Georgia
  • Cyprus
  • Serbia
  • Finland
  • Azerbaijan
  • San Marino
  • Israel
  • Malta

2nd Half

  • Montenegro
  • Romania
  • Czech Republic
  • Poland
  • Belgium
  • North Macedonia
  • Sweden
  • Estonia
  • Ireland

Turin will host the 66th Eurovision Song Contest from May 10th to 14th at the Pala Alpitour. The motto of this year’s event, as chosen by the organizers, is “The Sound of Beauty”.

You can see the draw again through the following link:

 

 

 

Eurovision 2022: Pots and Participants of Semifinals Allocation Draw revealed!

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The semi-finals draw will take place on Tuesday 25 January at 12:00 CET, from the Palazzo Madama e Casaforte degli Acaja in Turin. At the same time there will be a ceremony of handing over the keys of the contest or as it is widely known, the Host City Insignia from the previous hosts Rotterdam to the Italian organizers.

The allocation draw will determine whether the countries will participate in the First Semifinal (Tuesday, May 10) or the Second Semifinal (Thursday, May 12). Also, again based on the draw it will be determined if they appear in the first or second half of the semifinal. We remind you that the exact order of appearance is announced later by the organizers and after it has first been approved by the EBU.

The draw will be presented by TV presenters Carolina di Domenico and Gabriele Corsi. Rotterdam Mayor Ahmed Aboutaleb and Turin Mayor Stefano Lo Russo will be present.

Friends of the contest will be able to watch the draw on Eurovision’s YouTube channel or on Rai’s streaming service.

Semi-final draw: How does it work?

Italy, as the host country, together with the other 4 members of the so-called “Big 5” (France, Germany, Spain and the United Kingdom) do not compete in the Semifinals, but vote in one of them… so before the competing countries in Semifinals, it will be determined at random which of the Semifinals the Big 5 will be allowed to vote for.

The next part of the draw will determine in which Semifinal and in which half of the respective Semifinal the remaining 36 participating countries will appear.

The 36 countries of the semifinals are selected from 6 different pots:

Pot 1

  • Albania
  • Croatia
  • Montenegro
  • North Macedonia
  • Serbia
  • Slovenia

Pot 2

  • Denmark
  • Australia
  • Finland
  • Iceland
  • Norway
  • Sweden

Pot 3

  • Armenia
  • Azerbaijan
  • Georgia
  • Israel
  • Russia
  • Ukraine

Pot 4

  • Cyprus
  • Greece
  • Malta
  • Bulgaria
  • Portugal
  • San Marino

Pot 5

  • Estonia
  • Lithuania
  • Latvia
  • Moldova
  • Poland
  • Romania

Pot 6

  • Austria
  • Belgium
  • Switzerland
  • Czech Republic
  • Ireland
  • Netherlands

Drawing countries from different pots helps to reduce the chance of so-called neighbourly voting and increases suspense in the Semi-Finals.

Stay tuned at Eurovisionfun for all the news regarding the 66th Eurovision Song Contest!

Eurovision 2022: Semi Final Allocation Draw to take place on January 25!

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One of the most important dates of the 66th Eurovision Song Contest was revealed a few hours ago, as the draw for the Eurovision 2022 semi-finals will take place on January 25th.

As revealed by the Montenegrin state radio, RTCG, in the context of the announcement of Vladana Vučinić as the representative of the Balkan country in Turin, the draw of the semi-finals will take place in exactly three weeks from today.

During the ceremony, the emblem of the event will be handed over from the city of Rotterdam to the Mayor of Turin. The draw will take place either at the Mole Antonelliana, the tallest building in Turin, or at the Palazzo Madama, which housed the first Senate of the Italian Kingdom.

The draw

The first part of the draw will determine the semi-final that will be broadcasted and voted by each of the five countries that are directly in the final (Italy, France, Germany, Spain and the United Kingdom).

The second part of the draw will determine in which semi-final and in which half the other 36 participating countries will compete. As in recent years, the exact order of appearance will be determined by the producers of the event at a later time.

The 36 countries will be distributed in five or six pots, based on historical voting patterns as calculated by the official television partner Digame. This separation is done in order to avoid the gathering of many neighboring countries in a semifinal that would significantly affect the final result.

We remind you that Eurovision 2022 will be held on May 10, 12 and 14 at the PalaOlimpico in the capital of Piedmont. Thus, Turin will become the third city in Italy where the Eurovision Song Contest will be held. The previous two were Naples in 1965 and Rome in 1991.

We remind you that the 66th Eurovision Song Contest will take place at the Pala Alpitour in Turin, on 10, 12 and 14 May 2022, with 41 participating countries.Stay tuned to Eurovisionfun for all the news related to the 66th Eurovision Song Contest!

Georgia: Circus Mircus will represent the country in Eurovision 2022!

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Early this morning, the national TV of Georgia announced that the country will be represented by Circus Mircus in Turin the upcoming May.

The official accounts of Eurovision has informed the fans all over the world that they will be the act for the Eurovision 2022 with the upcoming post:

Dear Earthlings,

This is a message from Circus Mircus.

We would like to inform you that according to the decision made by the Georgian Public Broadcaster, at the international song contest Eurovision, Georgia will be represented by Circus Mircus.

You ask, what is Circus Mircus?

It is a movement that brings together dozens of professionals from different fields to create an unprecedented audio-visual experience.

The cornerstone of their philosophy lies in the complete neglect of musical frameworks.

Whoever had the chance to watch a show of Circus Mircus describe their sound as “sonicaly unique”

Could this interesting choice of Georgia change the country’s fortune in Eurovision? What is your prediction for their luck in the contest? Answer us in the comments below!

Eurovision 2022: 41 countries joining the 66th contest in Turin!

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Public broadcasters from 41 countries will take part in the Eurovision Song Contest when it returns to our screens next May.

Fans of the Contest will welcome back ARMTV from Armenia and RTCG from Montenegro, both taking to the stage for the first time since Tel Aviv in 2019.

It’s also a special year for Norwegian broadcaster NRK as they will be celebrating the selection of their 60th Eurovision entry during the Melodi Grand Prix grand final on Saturday 19 February.

We will also witness the 300th ‘Big Five’ performance – that’s a song from one of either France, Germany, Italy, Spain or United Kingdom.

Martin Österdahl, Executive Supervisor of the Eurovision Song Contest, shared his thoughts on the line-up:

‘We are so excited that we once again have over 40 broadcasters competing to win the iconic Eurovision trophy in Turin next May.

The team from Rai are working hard on preparations to welcome all the delegations to a new Host City and ensuring the Eurovision Song Contest will provide the excitement and state-of-the-art spectacle expected by nearly 200 million viewers.’

On the announcement of the 41 participants, Simona Martorelli and Claudio Fasulo from Italian broadcaster Rai added:

‘After 31 years, Italy is proud to host the Eurovision Song Contest again! As Executive Producers, we are incredibly excited to set up this amazing event and welcome delegations from 41 nations to Turin next year.

Above all, we strongly believe the Eurovision Song Contest will allow us to showcase and share the beauty of Italy with a global audience via the elements that unite us all: music and harmony.’

The Italian city of Turin won the race to become the Host City of the 66th Eurovision Song Contest, setting Saturday 14 May as the date of the Grand Final, which will be held in PalaOlimpico along with two Semi-Finals on 10 and 12 May.

Source: Eurovision.tv